@machbut
#4,448820xc2de93c744f3406ff4a67623913d3c6df4116781
~74d· 29 markets · 1836 tradesVol: $6,766,3332026-09-10 12:12:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (13/25)11/20
12.28x (win $777,265 / loss $63,291)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.61915/15
Sortino 59.59710/10
$+0.4616 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1857 (25 markets)3.2/10
10/16 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($57,766 / $713,974)10/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+63,029
DCA Master
Avg 81.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,546,607 invested
Consistent
10/16 profitable days
High Roller
$3,896/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,469$48,318Vol: $2,468,697
🏛️ POLITICS#864$60,286Vol: $2,447,922
₿ CRYPTO#1,716,550$-48,572Vol: $1,629,591
💻 TECH#269,093$-1,444Vol: $26,830
🎭 CULTURE#793,953$-101Vol: $2,659
Overview
#1Net PnL
$40,935
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,766,333
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
925B / 911S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
Periods
#2Today
$2,709
Vol: $0
Week
$3,038
Vol: $13,992
Month
$12,158
Vol: $126,280
All Time
$40,935
Vol: $6,766,333
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
13W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$63,029
Win Rate
52%
13W / 12L
Profit Factor
12.28x
Avg Win
$59,790
Avg Loss
$-5,754
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $716,659 (11.370323061120812% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$420,945
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$202,082
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$93,633
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$47,172
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4,209
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$3,907
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$3,491
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18? $1,231
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? $557
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?$18
Top Losers
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-26,020
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-23,646
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-5,250
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,594
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-1,444
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,386
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$-1,036
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-1,028
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-626
No airdrop in 2025?$-160
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.386
Sortino
1.782
HHI
2922
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.356
Kelly %
36.6%
Half-Kelly
18.3%
Top-1 market
43.1%
Top-5 markets
94.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.9m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 3.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
81.36
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)12.4%
High (>55c)75.1%
Sessions
#127/18/2026, 11:57:45 PM4 trades$165,4291 min
12/29/2025, 9:46:55 AM147 trades$149,57046 min
7/18/2026, 7:17:01 PM33 trades$122,0350 min
6/3/2026, 3:49:12 PM81 trades$113,6683 min
7/19/2026, 9:24:37 PM66 trades$99,68212 min
12/30/2025, 5:16:35 AM2 trades$78,0710 min
7/19/2026, 9:14:51 PM9 trades$72,5860 min
10/4/2025, 4:27:25 PM45 trades$66,49925 min
12/21/2025, 1:54:25 PM31 trades$62,64010 min
7/18/2026, 11:31:54 PM6 trades$62,4311 min
6/9/2026, 5:27:18 PM94 trades$53,1177 min
10/4/2025, 2:23:19 PM15 trades$49,93011 min
6/9/2026, 5:32:15 AM98 trades$46,7473 min
7/6/2026, 8:42:59 PM52 trades$45,8194 min
12/29/2025, 11:23:21 AM24 trades$43,39314 min
12/22/2025, 4:47:49 PM21 trades$42,91816 min
6/10/2026, 3:43:00 AM10 trades$41,9711 min
10/4/2025, 5:44:59 PM4 trades$37,0747 min
10/2/2025, 5:31:11 AM18 trades$34,5727 min
7/7/2026, 2:23:53 PM34 trades$32,5871 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
07-14
11-02
12-21
12-29
06-09
07-06
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 81.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M12.4 / H75.1