Polydata

@0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455

#1,44881

0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98

~106d· 234 markets · 3245 tradesVol: $2,488,9062026-07-31 11:21:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (84/197)6.3/20
3.36x (win $277,827 / loss $82,580)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.70515/15
Sortino 25.95210/10
$+0.3275 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 360 (197 markets)10/10
34/70 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($17,984 / $214,661)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+136,611
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Whale
$596,250 invested
High Roller
$3,447/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#383$132,863Vol: $1,746,355
SPORTS#14,727$2,972Vol: $686,497
💰 FINANCE#654,812$-2,390Vol: $32,842
📈 ECONOMICS#1,303$3,704Vol: $18,072
🎭 CULTURE#792,221$-182Vol: $3,890
📢 MENTIONS#9,330$48Vol: $1,250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$137,014
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,488,906
Total Redeem
$55,902
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
234
total markets
Trades
1875B / 1370S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~106d

Periods

#2
Today
$-531
Vol: $8,366
Week
$-5,397
Vol: $66,075
Month
$-5,385
Vol: $939,093
All Time
$137,014
Vol: $2,488,906

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
43%
84W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$136,611
Win Rate
43%
84W / 113L
Profit Factor
3.36x
Avg Win
$3,307
Avg Loss
$-802

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $108,125 (0.7914816647536951% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$47,991
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$42,095
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$18,040
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$16,488
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14,982
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$13,182
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$13,040
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$12,088
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$9,440
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$6,516

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,923
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-6,887
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-6,410
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-4,895
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-3,420
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,244
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-2,681
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-2,095
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$-1,773
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$-1,728

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.296
Sortino
1.014
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.419
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 73s — normal for humanCV 3.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.52
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.7%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)41.2%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 10:49:01 PM41 trades$39,87016 min
6/14/2026, 9:54:28 PM39 trades$36,4626 min
4/8/2026, 12:49:23 AM89 trades$27,2208 min
3/25/2026, 12:50:41 PM2 trades$25,5860 min
6/12/2026, 3:06:13 PM21 trades$22,3660 min
6/8/2026, 10:42:00 AM7 trades$22,0390 min
3/3/2026, 7:38:05 PM18 trades$20,7823 min
6/14/2026, 5:26:13 PM31 trades$20,0874 min
7/29/2026, 7:28:11 PM38 trades$18,8422 min
6/14/2026, 10:08:33 PM4 trades$18,2470 min
6/14/2026, 9:19:24 PM28 trades$17,46011 min
6/8/2026, 11:49:28 AM22 trades$16,6751 min
7/12/2026, 5:46:53 PM72 trades$15,8870 min
7/24/2026, 1:41:25 AM17 trades$14,2263 min
3/12/2026, 3:40:45 PM4 trades$13,9043 min
4/9/2026, 1:51:59 AM31 trades$12,5612 min
6/12/2026, 7:04:33 AM21 trades$12,3240 min
4/8/2026, 1:38:47 PM10 trades$11,9110 min
7/19/2026, 4:21:15 PM27 trades$11,1724 min
6/12/2026, 2:29:12 PM34 trades$10,9631 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-01-31 00:00:00
2026-05-10 19:00:00
2026-06-15 00:00:00
2026-06-21 22:00:00
2026-06-30 01:00:00
2026-07-07 00:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.7 / M21.1 / H41.2