@0xc406…ba02
660xc4060c56e592b8bced314246f6bf6e82fedcba02
~54d· 94 markets · 531 trades2026-08-04 23:40:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (35/77)7.7/20
1.87x (win $3,972 / loss $2,129)13.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.21915/15
Sortino 9.62710/10
$+0.1156 per $1 invested5.8/10
HHI 1434 (77 markets)5.3/10
10/32 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($777 / $2,620)8.1/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+447
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 30%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$447
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,944
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
186B / 345S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
35W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$447
Win Rate
45%
35W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.87x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-55
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,741 (8.3730892325597% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2,657
Will Putin visit China by May 31?$889
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$195
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$170
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?$50
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score$5
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$1
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1
Top Losers
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $-336
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$-276
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?$-268
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?$-233
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? $-224
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score$-165
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-131
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$-124
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$-61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$-50
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.114
Sortino
0.521
HHI
1789
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.145
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.2%
Top-5 markets
63.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 133s — normal for humanCV 4.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.79
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.4%
High (>55c)39.8%
Sessions
#127/13/2026, 8:49:59 PM29 trades$7,6864 min
5/9/2026, 5:54:05 AM5 trades$4,0123 min
6/3/2026, 8:52:53 AM22 trades$3,2372 min
4/3/2026, 4:45:41 AM8 trades$2,6951 min
5/9/2026, 7:52:09 AM25 trades$2,4284 min
5/12/2026, 7:20:54 AM39 trades$2,1310 min
1/17/2026, 3:45:22 PM1 trades$2,0330 min
5/11/2026, 2:43:45 PM8 trades$1,5451 min
7/24/2026, 12:05:31 PM4 trades$1,1720 min
6/21/2026, 11:43:19 AM15 trades$1,1500 min
4/9/2026, 8:45:03 PM14 trades$9800 min
4/2/2026, 10:27:11 PM15 trades$8884 min
7/3/2026, 11:44:28 PM12 trades$8810 min
4/30/2026, 6:54:34 PM7 trades$8260 min
4/2/2026, 10:03:05 PM2 trades$8000 min
4/19/2026, 12:44:18 PM10 trades$5930 min
4/26/2026, 2:15:50 PM10 trades$5851 min
5/11/2026, 2:25:24 PM12 trades$5520 min
4/2/2026, 10:09:15 PM7 trades$5164 min
1/22/2026, 10:52:12 PM2 trades$4852 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
01-30
02-19
03-01
03-19
04-26
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.79/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.8 / M20.4 / H39.8