@0xc449f5…1364

#3,027,90440

0xc449f51abb478cfe98ab1e612a38fd08506abd48

~102d· 92 markets · 601 tradesVol: $571,374 @btc1800002026-09-26 01:16:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (56/84)18.3/20
0.92x (win $14,862 / loss $16,189)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2580/15
Sortino -0.2800/10
$-0.0033 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 513 (84 markets)9.9/10
45/58 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 1749% of peak ($11,786 / $674)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+6,396
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Whale
$404,862 invested
Consistent
45/58 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,645,985$-9,645Vol: $223,831
₿ CRYPTO#5,779$8,171Vol: $158,166
📈 ECONOMICS#686,113$-284Vol: $112,196
⚽ SPORTS#1,668,510$-74Vol: $40,436
🎭 CULTURE#8,077$482Vol: $29,500
💻 TECH#23,132$6Vol: $5,200
💰 FINANCE#15,812$129Vol: $2,045

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,215
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$571,374
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
504B / 97S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1,407
Vol: $6,414
Month
$-1,597
Vol: $20,403
All Time
$-1,215
Vol: $571,374

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
56W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$6,396
Win Rate
67%
56W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$265
Avg Loss
$-852

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,912 (1.080783332681859% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$4,200
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?$1,698
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$1,014
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$971
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$800
Will Solana hit $270 in December?$573
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?$537
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$450
Will SOL flip XRP again in 2024?$411
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$386

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-11,786
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-957
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-950
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-800
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?$-519
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-472
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?$-197
Iran military response by Monday?$-117
Solana above $160 on August 9?$-100
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-78

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.007
HHI
475
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
39.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 3.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)83.5%

Sessions

#12
11/25/2025, 5:08:15 AM3 trades$31,5992 min
11/18/2025, 2:17:01 AM1 trades$25,8000 min
10/21/2025, 7:44:43 AM1 trades$17,7430 min
11/25/2025, 5:01:23 AM3 trades$17,6011 min
3/18/2026, 1:30:55 AM1 trades$15,9200 min
5/11/2026, 2:47:35 AM3 trades$10,9730 min
12/12/2024, 1:24:04 AM1 trades$10,9710 min
10/1/2024, 3:07:30 PM1 trades$10,0000 min
1/30/2026, 11:53:46 AM6 trades$9,9800 min
1/30/2026, 12:00:44 PM10 trades$9,9701 min
11/13/2025, 1:16:30 AM4 trades$9,9601 min
11/11/2025, 9:44:06 AM2 trades$9,3770 min
9/2/2024, 1:52:40 AM1 trades$9,0000 min
2/8/2026, 4:51:27 PM6 trades$8,5606 min
6/21/2026, 5:32:08 AM19 trades$7,9840 min
6/21/2026, 4:31:16 PM14 trades$7,9840 min
11/11/2024, 10:25:39 PM1 trades$7,6530 min
1/6/2026, 7:14:39 AM1 trades$7,6000 min
1/19/2026, 3:37:40 AM1 trades$7,5000 min
8/20/2024, 12:00:27 PM7 trades$7,0003 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-24
08-31
10-21
11-21
02-20
06-07
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.1 / M7.3 / H83.5