@0xc4686A…3941

#2,671,3182

0xc4686a8206b4b13460f2ee85bf25a30dcb577ae1

~13d· 54 markets · 332 tradesVol: $23,9782026-08-26 09:13:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (18/54)1.7/20
0.82x (win $358 / loss $434)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4530/15
Sortino -4.8060/10
$-0.0856 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3198 (54 markets)0/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 176% of peak ($176 / $100)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,473,653$-89Vol: $22,336
⚽ SPORTS#1,607,237$-51Vol: $1,512

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-141
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,978
Total Redeem
$34
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
126B / 206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Month
$-99
Vol: $14,897
All Time
$-141
Vol: $23,978

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
18W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-65
Win Rate
33%
18W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $141 (2.159302858890078% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$45
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-07?$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$32
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$29
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$21
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$19
Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-08-08?$13

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - August 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-60
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire$-40
Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-21
Sandefjord Fotball vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Both Teams to Score$-20
Solana Up or Down - August 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$-20
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.174
Sortino
-0.312
HHI
728
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.9%
Top-5 markets
44.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.8%
Mid (20-55c)45.2%
High (>55c)34.9%

Sessions

#12
8/9/2026, 7:05:45 AM20 trades$3,0000 min
8/7/2026, 11:49:30 AM12 trades$3330 min
7/2/2026, 2:30:29 PM34 trades$20812 min
8/9/2026, 4:35:43 PM23 trades$2044 min
8/9/2026, 5:36:51 PM6 trades$1914 min
8/9/2026, 6:00:12 PM5 trades$1723 min
7/3/2026, 6:41:11 PM18 trades$1439 min
8/9/2026, 6:31:55 PM18 trades$1072 min
8/9/2026, 10:22:15 PM11 trades$1071 min
7/3/2026, 7:44:32 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/2/2026, 3:57:22 PM11 trades$883 min
7/1/2026, 6:50:43 PM6 trades$844 min
7/5/2026, 5:45:26 PM11 trades$750 min
7/1/2026, 6:35:53 PM6 trades$554 min
8/8/2026, 9:34:30 AM4 trades$514 min
7/3/2026, 6:08:17 PM10 trades$482 min
8/7/2026, 7:50:54 PM4 trades$460 min
7/15/2026, 6:05:35 PM15 trades$445 min
8/8/2026, 5:31:34 PM2 trades$420 min
7/3/2026, 8:06:02 PM6 trades$381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-01
07-03
07-06
07-15
08-03
08-07
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.15/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.8 / M45.2 / H34.9