@lievre

#3,060,29325

0xc4ba51d42463746b6cf4231cd2c9484afa7268fa

~162d· 409 markets · 2006 tradesVol: $259,0702026-08-04 16:19:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (209/406)10.7/20
0.76x (win $30,203 / loss $39,915)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0920/15
Sortino -1.2930/10
$-0.1349 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 437 (406 markets)10/10
56/117 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 200% of peak ($20,207 / $10,081)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
Whale
$72,005 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#659,870$-6,671Vol: $145,500
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,038$-4,376Vol: $57,340
🎭 CULTURE#810,519$-987Vol: $38,679
📢 MENTIONS#4,193$185Vol: $9,299
📈 ECONOMICS#11,085$123Vol: $1,689
🌤️ WEATHER#286,529$-115Vol: $528
💻 TECH#12,577$22Vol: $265
⚽ SPORTS#157,296$56Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$259,070
Total Redeem
$466
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
409
total markets
Trades
1844B / 162S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~162d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $209
Week
$-16
Vol: $351
Month
$-25
Vol: $351
All Time
$-11,233
Vol: $259,070

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
209W / 197L events
Realized PnL
$-11,234
Win Rate
51%
209W / 197L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$145
Avg Loss
$-203

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,450 (1.0191780626818665% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?$4,910
Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$3,397
Will PulteGroup (PHM) beat quarterly earnings?$3,142
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?$2,607
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?$2,103
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?$1,843
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?$935
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$707
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?$628
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?$530

Top Losers

Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?$-10,812
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?$-8,802
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?$-2,886
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$-2,154
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?$-1,912
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-1,188
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$-550
Will Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?$-527
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?$-501
Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?$-441

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
489
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.135
Kelly %
8.7%
Half-Kelly
4.4%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
40.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 766s — normal for humanCV 2.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.9%
Mid (20-55c)35.4%
High (>55c)25.7%

Sessions

#12
10/20/2025, 6:34:33 AM5 trades$2,1767 min
10/21/2025, 8:20:01 PM1 trades$1,3810 min
2/19/2026, 8:25:26 AM1 trades$1,2590 min
10/23/2025, 6:17:23 PM4 trades$1,2412 min
10/21/2025, 4:36:09 PM2 trades$1,1803 min
1/12/2026, 7:56:35 PM2 trades$1,1774 min
10/21/2025, 4:46:57 PM2 trades$1,1041 min
10/30/2025, 11:30:09 AM19 trades$1,0153 min
10/23/2025, 5:06:19 PM2 trades$1,0004 min
9/5/2025, 6:36:16 AM2 trades$8712 min
10/19/2025, 12:18:59 PM5 trades$8135 min
10/17/2025, 3:17:55 PM3 trades$7972 min
1/18/2026, 5:00:22 PM14 trades$7951 min
2/28/2026, 1:43:07 PM11 trades$7555 min
1/25/2026, 9:20:10 AM1 trades$7500 min
10/21/2025, 8:31:49 PM1 trades$7470 min
10/23/2025, 7:15:09 PM8 trades$7435 min
1/9/2026, 10:10:16 PM2 trades$7200 min
10/20/2025, 6:58:37 PM1 trades$6910 min
10/23/2025, 5:37:49 PM2 trades$6023 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
07-30
09-21
10-17
01-13
03-12
07-29
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.91/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.9 / M35.4 / H25.7