@mustbethewater
#1,476710xc5187cb669690150643ba2f9aac6b7d98d212594
~257d· 6458 markets · 237092 tradesVol: $6,178,5752026-08-02 07:40:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
76% (4523/5922)20/20
1.11x (win $40,905 / loss $36,847)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.99115/15
Sortino 2.82010/10
$+0.0103 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 12 (5922 markets)10/10
151/251 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($2,200 / $4,644)4.5/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+141,491
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$393,404 invested
Consistent
151/251 profitable days
High Roller
$1,147/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#4,262$13,011Vol: $1,207,957
🏛️ POLITICS#631$78,566Vol: $1,126,876
🌤️ WEATHER#250$7,422Vol: $1,066,587
🎭 CULTURE#814,433$-3,384Vol: $917,661
💰 FINANCE#137$28,961Vol: $788,224
📈 ECONOMICS#2,048$1,896Vol: $534,238
₿ CRYPTO#1,570,314$-353Vol: $238,027
💻 TECH#387$4,919Vol: $214,140
📢 MENTIONS#23,052$7Vol: $705
Overview
#1Net PnL
$134,564
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,178,575
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6458
total markets
Trades
17027B / 6522S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~257d
Periods
#2Today
$-7,461
Vol: $10,585
Week
$-50,577
Vol: $10,585
Month
$6,076
Vol: $56,784
All Time
$134,564
Vol: $6,178,575
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
78%
13155W / 3734L events
Realized PnL
$141,491
Win Rate
78%
13155W / 3734L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-30
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,519 (0.017801371933916826% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$928
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$921
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$669
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$621
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$570
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$507
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$451
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$350
Will T1 win MSI 2026?$350
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$292
Top Losers
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,563
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-1,538
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-875
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-871
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-732
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-659
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-530
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-530
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-522
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?$-484
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.106
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
691.2
Very active
Markets / Day
18.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.0m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.1
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 311s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock691 trades/day — automation19 markets/day — mass coverage4% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)78.2%
Sessions
#123/15/2026, 10:40:11 PM118 trades$2,97256 min
7/7/2026, 5:37:02 PM41 trades$2,8188 min
7/9/2026, 9:23:53 PM59 trades$2,6759 min
6/23/2026, 1:19:35 AM155 trades$1,96640 min
7/7/2026, 1:02:43 PM2 trades$1,6960 min
6/13/2026, 8:03:58 AM48 trades$1,34223 min
7/7/2026, 5:55:59 PM21 trades$1,3201 min
7/9/2026, 8:25:28 PM17 trades$1,2932 min
6/28/2026, 3:06:34 PM18 trades$1,1818 min
7/4/2026, 12:06:44 AM15 trades$1,1341 min
2/8/2026, 5:23:57 PM115 trades$1,042112 min
5/25/2026, 12:54:33 PM2 trades$1,0410 min
7/4/2026, 12:31:29 AM13 trades$9991 min
6/21/2026, 4:30:11 AM43 trades$98817 min
7/18/2026, 3:28:36 AM3 trades$9590 min
7/10/2026, 2:01:01 PM17 trades$89414 min
7/3/2026, 2:36:04 AM8 trades$8785 min
6/20/2026, 12:03:17 AM3 trades$8663 min
5/21/2026, 3:52:24 PM139 trades$86045 min
7/2/2026, 12:32:11 PM7 trades$8474 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-15
12-17
01-27
03-14
05-06
06-17
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 38 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M11.4 / H78.2