@PollyForge
#48,464480xc5403a67309b34f5936e429568bccf02726df00d
~161d· 12731 markets · 132882 tradesVol: $3,836,2402026-08-02 06:32:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
80% (8777/10990)20/20
1.01x (win $119,524 / loss $118,492)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2655/15
Sortino 0.3523.5/10
$+0.0029 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 65 (10990 markets)10/10
68/120 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($8,582 / $7,873)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+2,190
DCA Master
Avg 11.1 entries/market
Whale
$353,553 invested
Win Streak
41 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#6,803$4,510Vol: $1,116,082
⚽ SPORTS#36,990$1,040Vol: $871,223
📈 ECONOMICS#642,976$-40Vol: $768,541
🎭 CULTURE#798,566$-273Vol: $437,926
💰 FINANCE#655,833$-2,925Vol: $364,249
🌤️ WEATHER#16,777$19Vol: $172,531
₿ CRYPTO#1,303,026$-26Vol: $21,922
💻 TECH#252,380$-210Vol: $4,815
📢 MENTIONS#46,950$0Vol: $114
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,836,240
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12731
total markets
Trades
43354B / 89528S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d
Periods
#2Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$395
Vol: $0
Month
$9
Vol: $423
All Time
$2,190
Vol: $3,836,240
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
80%
8777W / 2213L events
Realized PnL
$2,190
Win Rate
80%
8777W / 2213L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-67
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,329 (6.541961138808232% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$6,394
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$5,192
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$2,743
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2,281
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2,230
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2,052
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1,919
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1,917
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1,678
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1,677
Top Losers
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-7,437
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-4,676
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-3,783
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-3,568
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-3,482
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-3,214
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$-2,736
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-2,601
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-2,586
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?$-2,329
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.014
Sortino
0.013
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
26.6%
Half-Kelly
13.3%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
271.7
Very active
Markets / Day
26.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
227 min
Avg Trades / Session
768.6
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 3.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock272 trades/day — automation26 markets/day — mass coverage58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.05
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)15.6%
High (>55c)76.2%
Sessions
#123/11/2026, 10:48:41 AM19404 trades$64,5425102 min
4/8/2026, 1:32:41 AM145 trades$16,88759 min
3/15/2026, 9:41:53 AM3428 trades$16,723941 min
4/24/2026, 2:06:00 PM209 trades$10,13235 min
4/10/2026, 2:32:31 PM64 trades$7,8688 min
4/5/2026, 5:04:17 AM147 trades$6,913103 min
4/29/2026, 12:37:12 PM51 trades$6,06839 min
3/20/2026, 11:12:31 AM1060 trades$5,742401 min
3/16/2026, 7:41:49 AM1038 trades$5,622377 min
4/25/2026, 5:48:12 PM13 trades$5,38416 min
3/18/2026, 7:33:25 AM305 trades$4,535188 min
4/11/2026, 2:26:09 AM7 trades$4,2330 min
3/18/2026, 10:47:09 AM192 trades$4,018135 min
4/9/2026, 5:07:13 AM360 trades$4,00024 min
4/12/2026, 5:57:33 AM19 trades$3,92912 min
3/17/2026, 4:08:23 PM979 trades$3,806408 min
3/16/2026, 9:04:11 PM840 trades$3,588468 min
4/10/2026, 7:49:11 AM21 trades$3,5827 min
4/11/2026, 1:33:57 AM51 trades$3,4018 min
3/19/2026, 5:56:37 PM499 trades$2,83398 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-13
04-02
04-22
05-12
06-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M15.6 / H76.2