@Herald-PS

#2,987,9580

0xc5c9f4e998ddeb0818ebf735f8f8b85417b98faf

~19d· 20 markets · 136 tradesVol: $217,9862026-08-25 23:36:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (2/13)0/20
0.02x (win $29 / loss $1,316)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.7760/15
Sortino -10.0250/10
$-0.6709 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2524 (13 markets)0/10
0/8 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,287 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,618,696$-806Vol: $210,391
🌤️ WEATHER#298,811$-378Vol: $6,110
🎭 CULTURE#774,809$-60Vol: $1,085

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,255
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$217,986
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
93B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $0
Month
$-21
Vol: $187
All Time
$-1,255
Vol: $217,986

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
2W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-1,247
Win Rate
15%
2W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-132

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29 (0.023356130884133384% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$28
Will a hurricane form by May 31?$1

Top Losers

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-785
Named storm forms before hurricane season?$-287
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?$-96
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-50
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$-30
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$-23
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$-20
Nipah virus in US by March 31?$-11
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?$-10
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 90 and 95?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.577
Sortino
-0.577
HHI
1949
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.888
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.9%
Top-5 markets
69.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 600s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.8%
Mid (20-55c)40.9%
High (>55c)4.3%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 2:56:59 PM3 trades$5203 min
5/7/2026, 8:10:30 PM2 trades$2250 min
5/15/2026, 12:41:06 AM15 trades$2055 min
3/7/2026, 10:58:45 AM1 trades$1920 min
4/1/2026, 2:41:23 PM9 trades$1790 min
4/24/2026, 6:52:58 PM1 trades$1350 min
4/1/2026, 2:28:59 PM9 trades$1300 min
3/2/2026, 10:16:09 PM2 trades$1140 min
5/14/2026, 11:30:17 PM10 trades$1050 min
8/11/2026, 5:40:25 PM3 trades$1040 min
3/2/2026, 11:42:05 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/7/2026, 11:07:05 AM2 trades$1001 min
3/5/2026, 12:17:13 AM1 trades$960 min
3/3/2026, 5:10:37 PM3 trades$743 min
4/6/2026, 3:25:33 PM1 trades$560 min
3/3/2026, 8:09:57 PM1 trades$370 min
4/9/2026, 10:49:31 AM2 trades$350 min
5/17/2026, 3:48:58 AM1 trades$350 min
4/22/2026, 8:46:16 AM2 trades$331 min
3/4/2026, 7:35:13 PM1 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-03
03-04
03-05
03-07
03-08
05-14
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
15.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.23/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.8 / M40.9 / H4.3