Bperil

@Bperil

#6,33584

0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24

~424d· 1488 markets · 14192 tradesVol: $1,715,145 @BP3_PM2026-08-02 06:07:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (812/1274)16.9/20
1.89x (win $62,737 / loss $33,264)13.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.98515/15
Sortino 6.41710/10
$+0.0426 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 74 (1274 markets)10/10
182/300 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($8,769 / $31,425)8.4/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+25,611
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Whale
$691,934 invested
Consistent
182/300 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,955$23,082Vol: $1,580,061
🎭 CULTURE#3,426$1,749Vol: $65,660
📈 ECONOMICS#4,475$545Vol: $43,181
📢 MENTIONS#2,200$499Vol: $10,724
SPORTS#1,689,306$-111Vol: $6,440
CRYPTO#1,403,937$-57Vol: $3,917
💰 FINANCE#632,921$-107Vol: $2,965
🌤️ WEATHER#34,226$4Vol: $1,001
💻 TECH#202,935$-2Vol: $482

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25,597
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,715,145
Total Redeem
$1,380
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1488
total markets
Trades
7725B / 6467S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~424d

Periods

#2
Today
$22
Vol: $675
Week
$1,566
Vol: $675
Month
$54
Vol: $4,013
All Time
$25,597
Vol: $1,715,145

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
812W / 462L events
Realized PnL
$25,611
Win Rate
64%
812W / 462L
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-75

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,944 (0.42730348507359245% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$4,552
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$3,965
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,427
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$2,409
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$2,380
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2,056
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$1,854
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1,801
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1,396
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,225

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-2,487
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-2,240
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,752
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,711
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,577
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$-1,375
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,314
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-946
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-668
US government shutdown Saturday?$-668

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.156
Sortino
0.229
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
7.4%
Half-Kelly
3.7%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.8m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 308s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)67.8%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 3:39:02 AM13 trades$8,0830 min
5/22/2026, 5:29:34 PM10 trades$7,6442 min
6/8/2026, 5:20:01 AM13 trades$7,3219 min
7/24/2026, 6:12:42 PM5 trades$7,1950 min
4/12/2026, 8:35:35 PM2 trades$7,1160 min
1/15/2026, 7:13:24 PM6 trades$6,9515 min
5/16/2026, 9:11:57 PM60 trades$6,72912 min
5/27/2026, 12:02:19 AM26 trades$6,1818 min
4/21/2026, 3:27:24 PM93 trades$5,50614 min
6/12/2026, 4:11:18 PM18 trades$5,4860 min
4/28/2026, 1:34:30 PM16 trades$5,2943 min
1/31/2026, 12:26:46 AM3 trades$5,2001 min
10/22/2025, 11:33:53 PM1 trades$5,1190 min
10/23/2025, 12:40:49 AM1 trades$5,0790 min
2/4/2026, 7:48:25 PM11 trades$5,02113 min
7/17/2026, 5:22:27 PM39 trades$4,9727 min
2/28/2026, 6:31:57 AM2 trades$4,4481 min
6/4/2026, 11:44:49 PM12 trades$4,3761 min
5/31/2026, 9:29:48 PM55 trades$4,25321 min
5/26/2026, 10:38:32 PM2 trades$4,0340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-11
07-06
11-22
02-03
03-25
05-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M25.8 / H67.8