@0xc6c210a895ca825636ee72bc991386b399851b0d
530xc6c210a895ca825636ee72bc991386b399851b0d
~49d· 144 markets · 483 trades2026-08-02 06:40:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (49/88)12.8/20
1.29x (win $5,346 / loss $4,157)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.54615/15
Sortino 3.37710/10
$+0.0258 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 3269 (88 markets)0/10
18/35 profitable days (51%)5.4/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($1,778 / $2,968)2/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+401
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$401
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,059
Total Redeem
$1,297
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
178B / 305S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
49W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$401
Win Rate
56%
49W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$109
Avg Loss
$-143
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,944 (7.341805302671289% of PnL)
Top Winners
Macron out in 2025?$1,934
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?$700
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$309
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$202
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$200
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$194
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$170
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$170
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$157
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$132
Top Losers
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?$-302
Macron out by June 30, 2026?$-273
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-271
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?$-200
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-200
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-200
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.080
Sortino
0.179
HHI
3197
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.4%
Top-5 markets
59.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 7.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.32
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)23%
High (>55c)61.2%
Sessions
#129/13/2025, 10:26:16 PM1 trades$26,0000 min
5/2/2026, 9:15:48 AM21 trades$3,0794 min
1/3/2026, 11:26:39 AM11 trades$2,82018 min
6/27/2026, 12:11:02 AM31 trades$1,6368 min
7/15/2026, 11:57:23 PM33 trades$1,4617 min
6/19/2026, 9:15:02 PM24 trades$1,3794 min
6/27/2026, 12:28:34 AM22 trades$1,0548 min
7/21/2026, 10:56:55 PM15 trades$1,0261 min
1/3/2026, 12:41:05 PM6 trades$9007 min
5/10/2026, 12:28:37 AM6 trades$8330 min
7/19/2026, 10:10:09 PM19 trades$7875 min
7/19/2026, 11:04:13 PM6 trades$7690 min
11/28/2025, 4:26:11 AM1 trades$7000 min
3/15/2026, 11:10:35 PM6 trades$6801 min
6/20/2026, 10:16:13 PM9 trades$6205 min
7/14/2026, 8:26:13 PM13 trades$6116 min
1/6/2026, 3:36:17 PM1 trades$6090 min
6/6/2026, 12:59:25 PM4 trades$6001 min
7/7/2026, 11:40:35 PM12 trades$5823 min
7/15/2026, 7:21:37 PM21 trades$5760 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-13
10-29
01-09
03-22
06-19
07-05
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M23 / H61.2