@PeterEriksson

#18,66781

0xc7e7eed3b86669ed14647d51d23f0725c48b40b4

~136d· 237 markets · 5623 tradesVol: $628,5772026-08-05 15:50:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (100/212)8.6/20
3.21x (win $18,578 / loss $5,791)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.67415/15
Sortino 22.32910/10
$+0.1868 per $1 invested9.3/10
HHI 419 (212 markets)10/10
32/78 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($1,923 / $14,710)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+7,402
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 19.2 entries/market
Whale
$68,456 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#8,903$3,007Vol: $449,283
SPORTS#10,222$4,493Vol: $149,873
🎭 CULTURE#732,189$-22Vol: $9,976
💰 FINANCE#636,126$-120Vol: $9,204
📈 ECONOMICS#15,413$68Vol: $8,823
📢 MENTIONS#141,202$-19Vol: $193

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,399
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$628,577
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
237
total markets
Trades
3769B / 1854S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

Periods

#2
Today
$33
Vol: $0
Week
$113
Vol: $2,633
Month
$165
Vol: $3,081
All Time
$7,399
Vol: $628,577

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
100W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$7,402
Win Rate
47%
100W / 112L
Profit Factor
3.21x
Avg Win
$186
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,676 (1.7125569468388087% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9,729
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$1,691
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,255
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$1,238
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$582
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$470
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$356
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$317
Nothing Ever Happens: March$264
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$234

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-849
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$-385
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-340
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-282
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$-244
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-227
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?$-210
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$-197
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-190
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$-187

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.139
Sortino
1.056
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.268
Kelly %
6.3%
Half-Kelly
3.2%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
25.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.6m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 4.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.2%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)18.9%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 2:26:22 PM13 trades$4,3771 min
3/1/2026, 7:14:13 AM2 trades$4,0780 min
3/22/2026, 7:14:27 PM4 trades$2,8191 min
6/6/2026, 11:01:19 AM2 trades$2,4650 min
2/28/2026, 11:37:19 PM7 trades$2,1952 min
3/4/2026, 8:18:19 AM11 trades$2,17810 min
2/28/2026, 10:57:35 PM5 trades$2,05910 min
3/1/2026, 7:54:57 AM1 trades$2,0350 min
3/2/2026, 7:05:07 PM9 trades$2,0297 min
3/1/2026, 12:44:49 AM1 trades$1,9960 min
3/4/2026, 6:53:37 AM6 trades$1,9004 min
5/24/2026, 8:49:03 PM8 trades$1,7033 min
6/7/2026, 9:02:37 AM20 trades$1,6800 min
6/13/2026, 3:05:01 PM19 trades$1,51212 min
2/28/2026, 7:44:55 PM1 trades$1,4510 min
3/29/2026, 5:58:16 AM16 trades$1,42610 min
6/7/2026, 2:40:51 PM19 trades$1,41619 min
7/19/2026, 2:20:52 PM11 trades$1,37511 min
3/3/2026, 12:07:31 PM11 trades$1,1980 min
3/24/2026, 7:52:35 PM4 trades$1,1919 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-26
02-28
03-14
04-05
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.18/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.2 / M25.8 / H18.9