@martin-winner

#2,081,97267

0xc805fa748ab3a08cb119322764354a38085234e7

~159d· 88 markets · 4046 tradesVol: $134,7732026-10-08 02:53:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (68/83)20/20
1.31x (win $369 / loss $281)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.86315/15
Sortino 1.80310/10
$+0.0012 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1392 (83 markets)5.5/10
38/46 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 225% of peak ($197 / $87)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 82%
DCA Master
Avg 57.4 entries/market
Whale
$70,826 invested
Consistent
38/46 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#626,072$-46Vol: $55,872
🏛️ POLITICS#392,753$0Vol: $52,605
📈 ECONOMICS#44,284$9Vol: $21,294
₿ CRYPTO#193,017$14Vol: $2,641
🎭 CULTURE#502,561$-1Vol: $956
💻 TECH#48,987$1Vol: $790
🌤️ WEATHER#86,134$0Vol: $385
⚽ SPORTS#365,101$3Vol: $230

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,773
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
2166B / 1880S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~159d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $13
All Time
$-19
Vol: $134,773

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
68W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-19
Win Rate
82%
68W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $273 (14.501329080276452% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$247
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$16
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$8
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?$7
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?$3

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-99
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?$-51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-24
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$-23
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$-22
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$-20
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$-9
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$-7
US bank failure by January 31?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.052
HHI
2681
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
50.5%
Half-Kelly
25.3%
Top-1 market
38.6%
Top-5 markets
86.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 497s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
57.45
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)98.2%

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 12:43:07 PM4 trades$1,0826 min
6/12/2026, 2:46:10 PM3 trades$7966 min
4/24/2026, 2:31:46 AM3 trades$7675 min
3/31/2026, 2:43:41 AM2 trades$6652 min
3/30/2026, 12:22:54 PM2 trades$6652 min
3/27/2026, 7:59:55 PM3 trades$6632 min
3/26/2026, 1:20:37 AM2 trades$6611 min
3/21/2026, 8:40:57 PM4 trades$6581 min
3/24/2026, 1:31:03 PM3 trades$6584 min
3/20/2026, 5:46:01 PM2 trades$6522 min
3/20/2026, 2:54:19 PM6 trades$6517 min
3/20/2026, 8:36:45 AM2 trades$6470 min
3/21/2026, 7:05:55 PM6 trades$6118 min
6/5/2026, 10:24:58 AM2 trades$4941 min
3/2/2026, 5:36:01 AM28 trades$41731 min
2/13/2026, 1:21:03 PM18 trades$38418 min
4/26/2026, 4:28:06 PM2 trades$3840 min
4/17/2026, 8:05:08 PM8 trades$3845 min
4/5/2026, 3:20:43 PM9 trades$3846 min
4/2/2026, 5:07:35 PM5 trades$3834 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-14
01-18
01-29
02-08
03-02
04-17
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 107 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 57.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M1.6 / H98.2