betwick

@betwick

#33635

0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a

~404d· 664 markets · 24997 tradesVol: $38,688,487 @Betwick12026-09-20 09:16:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (388/644)15.1/20
0.92x (win $2,035,650 / loss $2,205,501)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3200/15
Sortino -0.3850/10
$-0.0131 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 144 (644 markets)10/10
154/247 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 130% of peak ($1,003,532 / $774,799)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+638,080
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 40.3 entries/market
Whale
$12,951,481 invested
Consistent
154/247 profitable days
High Roller
$25,903/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#115$446,971Vol: $21,087,924
📈 ECONOMICS#699,538$-92,767Vol: $6,849,341
🎭 CULTURE#56$110,897Vol: $5,098,179
💻 TECH#272,048$-47,810Vol: $2,926,778
CRYPTO#342$103,142Vol: $1,066,561
💰 FINANCE#56$67,530Vol: $695,465
📢 MENTIONS#49$37,786Vol: $603,761
SPORTS#3,150$19,234Vol: $347,997

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$651,627
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,688,487
Total Redeem
$188,620
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
664
total markets
Trades
17263B / 7734S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~404d

Periods

#2
Today
$4,515
Vol: $0
Week
$6,502
Vol: $0
Month
$4,969
Vol: $1,260,873
All Time
$651,627
Vol: $38,688,487

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
388W / 256L events
Realized PnL
$638,080
Win Rate
60%
388W / 256L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$5,247
Avg Loss
$-8,683

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $503,127 (0.7885017025542788% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$194,587
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$167,052
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$141,487
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$67,830
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$60,400
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$58,043
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$51,628
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$44,230
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$43,884
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$38,206

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-297,528
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-211,217
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-155,333
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-152,979
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-141,024
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-114,318
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-106,165
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-100,651
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-56,419
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-50,379

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
166
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.1m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 5.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
40.3
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)34.2%

Sessions

#12
12/23/2025, 8:07:15 AM6 trades$241,2939 min
4/1/2026, 3:15:13 PM9 trades$202,87319 min
6/2/2026, 10:52:22 AM3 trades$197,8000 min
12/10/2025, 10:25:08 PM82 trades$170,70613 min
9/10/2026, 12:31:52 PM28 trades$158,97618 min
8/28/2026, 2:03:00 PM14 trades$153,08610 min
1/20/2026, 3:34:52 PM5 trades$141,3212 min
6/24/2026, 1:27:37 PM41 trades$127,2840 min
6/24/2026, 3:26:49 PM74 trades$123,6161 min
5/6/2026, 10:38:26 AM9 trades$123,1223 min
9/7/2026, 8:14:19 AM65 trades$122,8002 min
1/23/2026, 9:22:16 AM2 trades$117,3310 min
6/21/2026, 4:42:11 PM45 trades$108,0170 min
5/3/2025, 7:24:54 AM4 trades$104,7921 min
6/1/2026, 5:08:01 PM1 trades$101,6730 min
6/2/2026, 9:38:35 AM26 trades$99,1005 min
12/8/2025, 2:22:05 PM4 trades$96,8663 min
5/12/2026, 11:12:32 AM37 trades$95,7680 min
6/3/2025, 12:59:38 PM2 trades$87,6324 min
1/21/2026, 9:39:38 PM49 trades$87,00031 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
06-25
08-11
10-23
12-20
03-04
08-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.3 / M19.6 / H34.2