@visionorigin

#1,905,5406

0xc8e390e0d2366b6755f7a3202574414944267b4e

~20d· 45 markets · 341 tradesVol: $22,8102026-08-02 04:07:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (3/11)0/20
0.37x (win $1 / loss $3)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.3480/15
Sortino -8.0610/10
$-0.0001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1327 (11 markets)5.9/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2 / $0)0/10

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,239,832$-8Vol: $16,018
📈 ECONOMICS#505,173$-2Vol: $3,115
SPORTS#1,034,829$-2Vol: $2,753
🎭 CULTURE#461,731$-0Vol: $691
CRYPTO#712,766$-0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,810
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
141B / 200S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-12
Vol: $22,810

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.07717569786535304% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$0

Top Losers

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$-1
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-1
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-0
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.356
Sortino
-0.518
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.0m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 486s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)87.2%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 12:26:10 AM10 trades$1,3430 min
6/29/2026, 4:38:29 AM7 trades$1,3130 min
6/30/2026, 12:12:07 AM2 trades$1,2880 min
6/28/2026, 10:05:52 AM2 trades$1,2750 min
6/29/2026, 3:10:53 AM2 trades$1,2650 min
6/29/2026, 11:04:53 PM2 trades$1,2570 min
6/29/2026, 4:23:04 AM2 trades$1,2560 min
6/28/2026, 8:32:37 AM2 trades$1,2360 min
6/28/2026, 9:50:23 AM2 trades$1,2250 min
6/29/2026, 11:34:34 PM2 trades$9780 min
6/28/2026, 9:00:53 AM10 trades$9680 min
6/29/2026, 3:34:13 AM32 trades$9570 min
6/29/2026, 3:26:32 AM2 trades$3090 min
6/29/2026, 11:18:28 PM5 trades$2790 min
6/28/2026, 8:51:19 AM2 trades$2680 min
4/18/2026, 2:08:28 AM2 trades$1910 min
4/18/2026, 3:57:00 AM2 trades$1910 min
4/17/2026, 9:56:24 PM2 trades$1910 min
4/17/2026, 11:18:38 PM2 trades$1910 min
3/27/2026, 11:40:41 PM1 trades$1600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-24
03-27
04-16
04-17
04-18
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M0 / H87.2