@bearlow
#18,500780xc8fdab31c245f31767fb8f88374a689149666b3a
~157d· 203 markets · 1190 tradesVol: $472,8132026-08-05 16:40:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (89/186)8.9/20
1.67x (win $38,795 / loss $23,265)10.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.86015/15
Sortino 6.87610/10
$+0.1685 per $1 invested8.4/10
HHI 305 (186 markets)10/10
54/113 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($3,232 / $18,761)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+7,508
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.2 entries/market
Whale
$92,186 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#4,038$9,323Vol: $239,888
⚽ SPORTS#1,836,361$-1,178Vol: $98,959
🎭 CULTURE#812,316$-1,278Vol: $45,193
📈 ECONOMICS#672,803$-302Vol: $28,724
₿ CRYPTO#32,850$872Vol: $27,388
💰 FINANCE#587,825$-15Vol: $15,143
💻 TECH#257,896$-1,053Vol: $3,882
🌤️ WEATHER#288,706$-143Vol: $3,823
📢 MENTIONS#167,946$-163Vol: $2,312
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,508
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$472,813
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
203
total markets
Trades
612B / 578S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d
Periods
#2Week
$-7
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$7,508
Vol: $472,813
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
89W / 97L events
Realized PnL
$7,508
Win Rate
48%
89W / 97L
Profit Factor
1.67x
Avg Win
$436
Avg Loss
$-248
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,766 (1.8335750848128125% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$5,346
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5,180
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$3,240
Knicks vs. Spurs$2,032
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,627
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,610
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$1,557
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$984
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$772
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$673
Top Losers
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-2,219
US military action against Iran before July?$-1,164
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,021
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-984
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-936
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-920
Spurs vs. Knicks$-864
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-692
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-685
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-667
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.149
Sortino
0.317
HHI
243
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.160
Kelly %
8.5%
Half-Kelly
4.3%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
27.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 148s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)27.5%
Mid (20-55c)37.7%
High (>55c)34.8%
Sessions
#127/11/2026, 11:45:55 PM2 trades$11,2460 min
11/21/2025, 4:21:07 AM1 trades$4,1480 min
4/8/2026, 6:29:03 AM23 trades$3,7791 min
12/1/2025, 4:21:46 PM18 trades$3,6995 min
11/5/2025, 12:20:55 PM1 trades$3,5840 min
5/13/2026, 8:36:31 PM32 trades$3,49413 min
12/26/2025, 5:55:57 PM1 trades$2,8800 min
6/23/2026, 12:06:08 PM12 trades$2,4441 min
5/16/2026, 4:41:24 PM8 trades$2,2170 min
4/10/2026, 7:37:53 PM43 trades$1,9706 min
4/6/2026, 7:41:39 PM3 trades$1,9380 min
6/18/2025, 2:24:20 PM1 trades$1,9330 min
6/19/2025, 3:32:38 PM1 trades$1,9330 min
6/22/2026, 9:34:38 PM18 trades$1,8181 min
5/6/2026, 8:00:33 PM13 trades$1,8002 min
6/25/2026, 5:52:19 PM16 trades$1,7933 min
2/11/2026, 10:25:05 PM3 trades$1,7776 min
5/19/2025, 7:16:25 AM1 trades$1,7070 min
6/18/2025, 6:57:36 AM1 trades$1,6640 min
6/18/2025, 1:24:38 PM1 trades$1,6640 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
11-14
12-19
01-29
03-03
04-28
06-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.17/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.5 / M37.7 / H34.8