@nba2026

#199,6866

0xc9bcdaa72d4aba4d51c764a99c54ecf3ac5da4cd

~10d· 21 markets · 46 tradesVol: $2,3702026-08-26 09:12:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (7/18)4.4/20
0.94x (win $194 / loss $206)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5300/15
Sortino -0.9670/10
$-0.0145 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2921 (18 markets)0/10
2/10 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 175% of peak ($84 / $48)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+149
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#122,722$100Vol: $1,072
🏛️ POLITICS#101,647$39Vol: $621
₿ CRYPTO#1,031,089$-4Vol: $421
📈 ECONOMICS#22,228$35Vol: $154
💰 FINANCE#600,446$-20Vol: $103

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,370
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
26B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$149
Vol: $2,370

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
7W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$149
Win Rate
39%
7W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $135 (0.9048703691297647% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$80
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$33
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)$22
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)$19
Spread: Magic (-10.5)$18
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)$17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4

Top Losers

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-60
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-40
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)$-25
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?$-22
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)$-20
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$-10
Ethereum Up or Down on March 17?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
3432
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.6%
Top-5 markets
95.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
10
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.22
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.5%
Mid (20-55c)57.7%
High (>55c)30.8%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 2:45:57 AM14 trades$6012 min
5/27/2026, 4:02:30 AM6 trades$1852 min
4/17/2026, 5:59:44 AM7 trades$1423 min
6/10/2026, 6:03:27 AM3 trades$1160 min
3/9/2026, 7:49:45 AM4 trades$945 min
2/11/2026, 1:51:33 PM4 trades$853 min
2/10/2026, 2:41:25 PM3 trades$601 min
5/19/2026, 2:03:11 AM2 trades$180 min
3/17/2026, 3:19:15 PM2 trades$154 min
2/13/2026, 2:09:01 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
02-11
02-13
03-09
03-17
04-17
05-19
05-27
06-10
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 66 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.22/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.5 / M57.7 / H30.8