@0xcAF194…7402

#11,74078

0xcaf1946d13a1a7967f5d3c76780d012e56b09ad1

~32d· 18 markets · 615 tradesVol: $2,454,9252026-10-05 05:57:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (13/16)20/20
2.43x (win $101,045 / loss $41,542)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.49015/15
Sortino 9.39510/10
$+0.0455 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 3450 (16 markets)0/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($35,681 / $90,097)6.1/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+10,140
DCA Master
Avg 54.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,308,665 invested
Consistent
8/12 profitable days
High Roller
$8,498/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#9,467$2,804Vol: $2,265,914
🎭 CULTURE#1,763$4,347Vol: $86,388
💰 FINANCE#2,039$2,375Vol: $53,330
🌤️ WEATHER#2,355$569Vol: $30,944
📈 ECONOMICS#1,618$2,728Vol: $18,350

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,822
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,454,925
Total Redeem
$502,889
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
271B / 344S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$51
Vol: $1,004
All Time
$12,822
Vol: $2,454,925

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
13W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$10,140
Win Rate
81%
13W / 3L
Profit Factor
2.43x
Avg Win
$7,773
Avg Loss
$-13,847

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $73,441 (7.242685643674204% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$33,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22,395
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$18,046
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$8,479
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,668
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$5,087
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$4,326
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2,468
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$429
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$56

Top Losers

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-34,419
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-5,805
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$-1,318

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.275
Sortino
0.276
HHI
11882
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
80.9%
Top-5 markets
168.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.0m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — normal for humanCV 6.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
54.19
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)70.1%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 8:36:03 PM1 trades$496,0000 min
4/8/2026, 1:27:21 AM1 trades$475,3540 min
4/7/2026, 8:06:39 PM56 trades$298,50011 min
4/6/2026, 10:02:03 PM1 trades$99,5000 min
4/17/2026, 12:54:44 PM3 trades$66,7200 min
4/23/2026, 7:55:44 AM1 trades$46,7500 min
4/18/2026, 11:23:58 AM24 trades$42,8880 min
4/19/2026, 7:42:04 PM12 trades$39,4040 min
4/7/2026, 9:43:43 PM1 trades$34,4240 min
4/16/2026, 7:00:18 PM28 trades$32,6400 min
4/7/2026, 10:06:37 PM26 trades$30,1400 min
4/7/2026, 5:56:29 AM1 trades$28,5400 min
4/20/2026, 1:54:32 PM5 trades$28,3112 min
4/7/2026, 9:22:25 PM5 trades$24,9001 min
4/17/2026, 2:51:58 PM15 trades$20,6210 min
5/12/2026, 9:30:28 PM5 trades$20,6150 min
4/11/2026, 6:54:05 AM1 trades$19,7600 min
8/27/2026, 7:06:01 AM1 trades$19,5500 min
4/3/2026, 10:18:25 PM40 trades$18,7980 min
5/24/2026, 6:26:39 AM1 trades$18,4460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-08
04-19
04-21
04-24
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 54.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.4 / M18.5 / H70.1