Polydata

@0xcCa90A5D3C8F2d6663817E3650D6aDbe9aB44C9f-1772395966516

#14,94024

0xcca90a5d3c8f2d6663817e3650d6adbe9ab44c9f

~89d· 248 markets · 6039 tradesVol: $1,809,0752026-07-31 16:40:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (102/215)8.7/20
0.72x (win $135,559 / loss $187,146)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4980/15
Sortino -1.6370/10
$-0.0627 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 402 (215 markets)10/10
33/64 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 166% of peak ($141,242 / $85,173)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+9,561
DCA Master
Avg 23.2 entries/market
Whale
$822,909 invested
High Roller
$5,878/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,977$-22,645Vol: $1,454,455
📈 ECONOMICS#206$34,647Vol: $313,319
SPORTS#1,849,340$-1,856Vol: $36,155
📢 MENTIONS#171,310$-328Vol: $5,146

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,818
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,809,075
Total Redeem
$1,107
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
248
total markets
Trades
3511B / 2528S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d

Periods

#2
Today
$602
Vol: $0
Week
$3,983
Vol: $0
Month
$16,247
Vol: $59,469
All Time
$9,818
Vol: $1,809,075

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
102W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$9,561
Win Rate
47%
102W / 113L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$1,329
Avg Loss
$-1,799

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $55,548 (5.809896160186092% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$29,034
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$13,581
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$12,932
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$6,962
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$6,380
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$6,324
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$6,229
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4,482
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$4,094
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$3,821

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-66,869
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-21,523
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-10,198
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$-10,003
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-6,765
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-6,441
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-6,369
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-5,602
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-4,930
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-4,695

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
244
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
29.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
43.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.2m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 4.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock43 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)54.3%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 6:34:05 PM59 trades$69,16614 min
7/8/2026, 2:09:26 AM7 trades$60,8582 min
5/10/2026, 8:47:46 PM32 trades$42,92111 min
5/10/2026, 3:04:28 PM42 trades$39,1386 min
6/5/2026, 3:50:36 AM43 trades$36,9424 min
5/15/2026, 6:27:33 AM2 trades$33,4800 min
5/10/2026, 3:34:17 PM19 trades$31,7971 min
5/22/2026, 9:41:11 PM74 trades$24,64124 min
6/6/2026, 4:34:12 PM11 trades$22,40910 min
5/24/2026, 3:12:53 AM104 trades$21,65424 min
7/18/2026, 6:52:10 PM12 trades$19,3181 min
5/15/2026, 5:46:09 AM2 trades$14,8800 min
6/20/2026, 8:46:58 AM35 trades$14,5202 min
4/3/2026, 4:00:17 PM32 trades$13,5162 min
5/3/2026, 2:00:26 PM2 trades$13,1711 min
6/11/2026, 5:59:27 PM56 trades$12,8866 min
6/8/2026, 1:31:40 AM27 trades$12,6529 min
6/7/2026, 9:14:33 PM90 trades$12,1768 min
6/15/2026, 1:48:16 AM79 trades$11,67917 min
5/23/2026, 1:26:06 AM15 trades$10,6911 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-23
04-07
05-09
05-20
06-08
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.4 / M26.3 / H54.3