@fatpapi
820xca334ba9a3ad086f0fce66d2b073d1f6c5c7918c
~220d· 105 markets · 5761 trades2026-08-02 05:24:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (60/99)15.3/20
2.40x (win $149,543 / loss $62,396)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.38415/15
Sortino 9.27710/10
$+0.1064 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 709 (99 markets)9/10
34/63 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($31,328 / $87,147)6.8/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+57,771
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 38.6 entries/market
Whale
$819,387 invested
High Roller
$2,203/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$57,771
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$819,387
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
4653B / 1108S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~220d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
60W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$57,771
Win Rate
61%
60W / 39L
Profit Factor
2.4x
Avg Win
$2,492
Avg Loss
$-1,686
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $81,831 (1.416476331805981% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$30,347
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27,699
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$23,785
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$17,777
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$11,700
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$9,574
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$8,291
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$6,844
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$3,537
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2,047
Top Losers
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-21,853
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?$-18,989
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$-12,562
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-1,758
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$-1,362
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$-764
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$-638
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$-473
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-415
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-406
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.334
HHI
663
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.6%
Top-5 markets
48.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.1m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 330s — normal for humanCV 9.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
38.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.3%
High (>55c)50.4%
Sessions
#1212/18/2025, 9:31:56 AM2 trades$113,0484 min
6/30/2026, 5:02:10 PM2 trades$24,9390 min
11/24/2025, 7:44:15 AM21 trades$20,48816 min
7/13/2026, 2:22:05 AM3 trades$20,4404 min
11/5/2025, 2:14:03 AM3 trades$19,9404 min
12/7/2025, 4:43:27 AM3 trades$19,9201 min
11/29/2025, 7:10:03 AM1 trades$18,7760 min
11/23/2025, 1:23:37 AM6 trades$15,1933 min
11/28/2025, 4:20:23 AM1 trades$14,7420 min
11/28/2025, 8:00:03 AM3 trades$14,0984 min
11/18/2025, 6:23:09 AM5 trades$13,8127 min
11/27/2025, 6:46:57 PM8 trades$13,7828 min
11/28/2025, 7:10:31 AM5 trades$13,6486 min
11/21/2025, 6:15:33 PM4 trades$12,5521 min
12/19/2025, 2:52:59 AM1 trades$12,1180 min
11/21/2025, 3:43:29 PM2 trades$11,6400 min
11/27/2025, 5:17:21 AM1 trades$11,6150 min
12/15/2025, 4:28:21 AM1 trades$10,9890 min
12/15/2025, 4:16:51 AM1 trades$10,8900 min
11/17/2025, 9:46:31 PM2 trades$10,5972 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-17
10-09
10-31
11-23
12-14
01-11
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.3 / M10.3 / H50.4