@nickadamus
#186,765390xca376dad6aa92ce2b6c82b1c2ef8f54ad69ea2ae
~47d· 48 markets · 244 tradesVol: $18,2322026-08-02 08:40:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
81% (22/27)20/20
0.40x (win $335 / loss $829)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8690/15
Sortino -2.8600/10
$-0.0942 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 771 (27 markets)8.6/10
16/21 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 321% of peak ($718 / $224)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+174
Consistent
16/21 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Categories
5💰 FINANCE#23,848$59Vol: $8,422
🏛️ POLITICS#1,319,131$-13Vol: $6,780
₿ CRYPTO#82,753$120Vol: $1,023
💻 TECH#8,799$47Vol: $699
🎭 CULTURE#31,144$49Vol: $544
Overview
#1Net PnL
$170
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,232
Total Redeem
$95
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
86B / 158S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d
Periods
#2Today
$18
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $0
Month
$35
Vol: $0
All Time
$170
Vol: $18,232
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
81%
22W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$174
Win Rate
81%
22W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-166
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $117 (0.6709072069997697% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$50
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?$35
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$32
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$24
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$23
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$19
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$15
Top Losers
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-718
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-50
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?$-40
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$-20
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? $-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
124
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.231
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
19.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 414s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)8.1%
High (>55c)77.9%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 1:23:04 PM4 trades$1,2740 min
7/15/2026, 10:55:38 PM12 trades$8061 min
4/6/2026, 4:14:07 PM17 trades$3800 min
6/25/2026, 8:47:25 PM8 trades$3510 min
5/23/2026, 1:48:51 PM13 trades$3392 min
4/1/2026, 2:40:37 PM6 trades$3372 min
6/5/2026, 5:33:43 PM8 trades$3330 min
4/24/2026, 12:04:54 PM7 trades$2745 min
2/22/2026, 2:55:24 PM3 trades$2719 min
5/25/2026, 12:26:25 AM8 trades$2530 min
7/6/2026, 11:38:55 PM8 trades$2490 min
4/3/2026, 12:14:33 AM4 trades$2052 min
7/17/2026, 12:26:00 PM13 trades$1651 min
4/22/2026, 10:06:28 PM2 trades$1590 min
6/15/2026, 12:29:54 AM6 trades$1581 min
7/21/2026, 5:22:13 PM5 trades$1580 min
3/13/2026, 9:06:55 PM3 trades$1533 min
1/19/2026, 10:34:42 PM1 trades$1500 min
5/23/2026, 7:31:46 PM2 trades$1490 min
4/15/2026, 1:41:56 AM11 trades$1360 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
02-08
03-12
03-21
04-15
05-09
05-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M8.1 / H77.9