@watkinscynthia

#1,879,72454

0xca44167396a1d135ba63752738fbefd3169edc05

~176d· 83 markets · 217 tradesVol: $28,2462026-10-08 02:10:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (7/49)0/20
2.81x (win $27 / loss $10)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.48515/15
Sortino 23.78210/10
$+0.0019 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 283 (49 markets)10/10
7/48 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($9 / $17)3.8/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,235,473$-8Vol: $13,097
⚽ SPORTS#992,491$-1Vol: $10,674
🎭 CULTURE#552,182$-1Vol: $2,972
📈 ECONOMICS#323,013$-0Vol: $933
₿ CRYPTO#688,512$-0Vol: $334
💰 FINANCE#382,924$-0Vol: $236

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,246
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
102B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~176d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
7W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-10
Win Rate
14%
7W / 42L
Profit Factor
2.81x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26 (2.524856596558317% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26?$0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-1
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-1
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-1
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$-0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$-0
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
1.716
HHI
116
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
5.7%
Half-Kelly
2.8%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
17.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.49
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68074s — normal for humanCV 0.49 — uniform order sizes28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.69
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)80.4%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 6:44:56 PM2 trades$2250 min
6/29/2025, 8:18:23 PM1 trades$1230 min
7/1/2025, 4:12:33 AM1 trades$1230 min
7/5/2025, 2:38:19 AM1 trades$1220 min
7/6/2025, 4:24:33 AM1 trades$1220 min
6/26/2025, 10:32:27 PM1 trades$1220 min
6/28/2025, 3:46:49 PM1 trades$1220 min
7/2/2025, 10:48:29 AM1 trades$1220 min
7/13/2025, 10:26:22 AM1 trades$1220 min
7/3/2025, 4:02:03 AM1 trades$1220 min
7/14/2025, 5:24:12 AM1 trades$1220 min
7/27/2025, 5:47:37 PM1 trades$1210 min
7/28/2025, 5:47:27 PM1 trades$1210 min
7/7/2025, 3:46:01 AM1 trades$1200 min
8/20/2025, 9:01:06 AM1 trades$1200 min
7/8/2025, 3:34:53 PM1 trades$1200 min
8/22/2025, 9:31:22 PM1 trades$1200 min
8/16/2025, 11:25:04 AM1 trades$1190 min
8/17/2025, 9:26:04 PM1 trades$1190 min
7/9/2025, 4:59:44 PM1 trades$1190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-01
08-03
08-28
11-02
12-02
01-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.6 / M0 / H80.4