Quaid281

@Quaid281

#2,986,72722

0xcb6ffcd138ea263162d731c3daedf9e194d4f414

~166d· 2282 markets · 5482 tradesVol: $82,4162026-09-19 18:46:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (970/2251)6.5/20
0.88x (win $5,424 / loss $6,191)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0100/15
Sortino -3.5640/10
$-0.0688 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 15 (2251 markets)10/10
73/158 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 5518% of peak ($834 / $15)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,705,566$-101Vol: $51,141
🌤️ WEATHER#305,053$-381Vol: $15,877
CRYPTO#1,561,298$-162Vol: $4,831
📈 ECONOMICS#675,758$-117Vol: $1,383
💰 FINANCE#576,715$-9Vol: $702

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-919
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,416
Total Redeem
$1,510
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2282
total markets
Trades
3458B / 2024S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $333
Month
$-83
Vol: $703
All Time
$-919
Vol: $82,416

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
970W / 1281L events
Realized PnL
$-773
Win Rate
43%
970W / 1281L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $138 (0.17905484096379307% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 1?$49
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$48
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$42
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?$37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on April 4?$36
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$35
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5$33
Kings vs. Raptors$32
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5$30
Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 9?$26

Top Losers

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)$-36
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$-31
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$-30
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration - Game 1 Winner$-30
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5$-26
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)$-26
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5$-25
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)$-24
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-22?$-23
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.185
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
4.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.3
Active
Markets / Day
12.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.1m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)52.5%
High (>55c)29.5%

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 12:19:07 PM9 trades$1977 min
4/2/2026, 7:30:47 PM38 trades$1801 min
3/31/2026, 7:30:41 PM53 trades$1701 min
4/1/2026, 3:16:01 AM21 trades$1390 min
3/8/2026, 4:07:23 AM1 trades$1390 min
3/8/2026, 4:16:13 AM1 trades$1250 min
2/24/2026, 10:24:20 PM26 trades$1241 min
4/9/2026, 7:38:27 PM18 trades$1120 min
3/27/2026, 2:20:25 AM11 trades$1115 min
5/9/2026, 12:15:21 PM9 trades$1070 min
3/29/2026, 7:36:38 PM28 trades$1061 min
3/12/2026, 4:07:47 AM36 trades$1021 min
3/22/2026, 7:28:43 PM4 trades$982 min
3/30/2026, 7:30:35 PM24 trades$921 min
3/18/2026, 9:05:05 PM6 trades$902 min
2/27/2026, 10:42:37 PM27 trades$9011 min
3/26/2026, 10:19:35 PM20 trades$880 min
5/25/2026, 11:52:45 PM10 trades$880 min
6/6/2026, 4:57:19 PM37 trades$877 min
2/27/2026, 12:22:08 AM26 trades$862 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-19
04-14
05-11
06-15
07-16
08-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 124 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.39/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18 / M52.5 / H29.5