Polydata

@weatherprod

#46,11370

0xcbd382fbd54af0b8aa51875dccf5c3dda8ed117e

~23d· 45 markets · 736 tradesVol: $954,5882026-07-31 13:22:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (26/44)14.5/20
1.20x (win $36,191 / loss $30,080)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.80515/15
Sortino 13.37910/10
$+0.0207 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 1110 (44 markets)6.9/10
15/19 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($2,002 / $6,111)7.4/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+574
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.7 entries/market
Whale
$295,283 invested
Consistent
15/19 profitable days
High Roller
$2,636/day
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,809,465$-693Vol: $561,982
🎭 CULTURE#5,340$912Vol: $191,814
🌤️ WEATHER#7,674$86Vol: $112,387
📈 ECONOMICS#20,844$38Vol: $19,000
🏛️ POLITICS#41,389$231Vol: $13,784

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,328
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$954,588
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
559B / 177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,765
Vol: $55,620
Week
$-2,541
Vol: $176,124
Month
$612
Vol: $286,921
All Time
$2,328
Vol: $954,588

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
59%
26W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$574
Win Rate
59%
26W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$1,392
Avg Loss
$-1,769

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,528 (60.139184505251436% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32,946
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,162
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$420
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$293
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$290
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$198
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$149
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?$130
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$127
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$108

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,700
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,436
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,400
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,510
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,420
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,115
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-2,002
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,760
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-770
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-630

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.245
Sortino
0.322
HHI
1155
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.6%
Top-5 markets
68.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
55s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.6m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 55s — normal for humanCV 4.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)28.1%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 4:44:36 PM4 trades$36,6262 min
5/5/2026, 10:09:36 PM1 trades$27,8600 min
5/11/2026, 1:48:51 PM2 trades$25,9000 min
7/29/2026, 8:45:09 AM2 trades$19,0000 min
7/27/2026, 2:12:25 PM8 trades$16,27810 min
5/28/2026, 9:22:22 AM2 trades$14,8501 min
7/25/2026, 3:08:30 PM2 trades$12,7930 min
7/25/2026, 4:02:09 PM1 trades$9,9600 min
6/1/2026, 10:58:27 AM1 trades$9,8400 min
7/25/2026, 3:56:03 PM1 trades$9,7850 min
5/27/2026, 9:50:21 AM29 trades$8,6205 min
7/27/2026, 9:43:01 AM12 trades$8,3162 min
6/1/2026, 7:42:58 AM11 trades$7,9741 min
6/12/2026, 10:12:49 AM50 trades$6,14541 min
5/11/2026, 12:04:18 PM5 trades$5,4394 min
6/12/2026, 5:18:21 PM36 trades$5,0709 min
5/28/2026, 9:48:49 AM1 trades$4,6910 min
7/25/2026, 2:01:43 PM2 trades$4,4910 min
6/8/2026, 3:11:15 PM60 trades$3,5091 min
5/11/2026, 9:56:40 AM11 trades$3,4140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-04-10 16:00:00
2026-06-07 00:00:00
2026-06-11 12:00:00
2026-06-14 17:00:00
2026-07-01 00:00:00
2026-07-23 12:00:00
2026-07-29 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
31.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71 / M0.9 / H28.1