@DonPatatoPatatero

#2,704,90628

0xcc74635b8a12d638a1c030637f783e3a9bf7f5aa

~63d· 285 markets · 639 tradesVol: $20,1462026-08-04 18:59:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (124/280)7.1/20
1.02x (win $816 / loss $804)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1572.9/15
Sortino 0.3133.1/10
$+0.0050 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 170 (280 markets)10/10
20/55 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 1171% of peak ($167 / $14)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,516,221$-98Vol: $8,079
🎭 CULTURE#757,558$-45Vol: $6,530
₿ CRYPTO#1,379,248$-46Vol: $4,267
📈 ECONOMICS#645,011$-43Vol: $569
📢 MENTIONS#30,133$3Vol: $409
🌤️ WEATHER#187,120$-1Vol: $226
⚽ SPORTS#183,206$39Vol: $44
💰 FINANCE#553,079$-6Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,146
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
285
total markets
Trades
429B / 210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $0
Month
$-11
Vol: $0
All Time
$-198
Vol: $20,146

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
124W / 156L events
Realized PnL
$-198
Win Rate
44%
124W / 156L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $254 (1.2841812199443179% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$155
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$61
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$25
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$16
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$15
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$13

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$-40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-26
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-24
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$-20
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$-17
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$-17
Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$-17
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.008
Sortino
0.017
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 288s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)44.5%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 11:04:05 AM27 trades$6768 min
6/26/2026, 12:46:11 PM7 trades$2000 min
5/20/2026, 9:22:13 AM3 trades$1910 min
7/26/2026, 9:02:42 PM11 trades$1093 min
4/29/2026, 12:25:34 PM15 trades$878 min
5/6/2026, 1:30:36 PM5 trades$690 min
6/19/2026, 8:08:40 PM3 trades$660 min
6/21/2026, 10:37:52 AM3 trades$590 min
1/10/2026, 6:03:08 PM4 trades$486 min
1/10/2026, 9:50:20 PM6 trades$4814 min
1/10/2026, 7:49:32 PM2 trades$471 min
2/1/2026, 2:12:26 PM1 trades$450 min
6/30/2026, 5:21:14 PM2 trades$440 min
1/10/2026, 7:06:52 PM2 trades$401 min
1/5/2026, 7:55:07 AM3 trades$393 min
2/6/2026, 4:23:07 PM4 trades$395 min
1/4/2026, 6:26:17 PM2 trades$382 min
2/5/2026, 6:39:21 PM4 trades$376 min
2/6/2026, 8:48:49 AM7 trades$3611 min
7/20/2026, 8:22:37 PM5 trades$340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
01-12
01-29
02-07
05-04
06-12
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 131 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.4 / M26.1 / H44.5