@forouhar.sarmad

#1,937,49135

0xcd78cde5c7369ad981b774d4a722805f72a391be

~19d· 43 markets · 164 tradesVol: $5,841 @AuroraDiedrich2026-08-04 23:41:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (25/35)20/20
0.19x (win $11 / loss $56)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8690/15
Sortino -3.8030/10
$-0.0105 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1275 (35 markets)6.1/10
11/17 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 1571% of peak ($55 / $4)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Consistent
11/17 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#432,834$-1Vol: $3,248
CRYPTO#476,159$0Vol: $2,388
SPORTS#1,421,352$-16Vol: $58
🎭 CULTURE#204,235$0Vol: $53
🏛️ POLITICS#397,887$0Vol: $50
📈 ECONOMICS#96,329$2Vol: $36
🌤️ WEATHER#129,774$0Vol: $4
📢 MENTIONS#61,308$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,841
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
69B / 95S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $459
Month
$1
Vol: $459
All Time
$-13
Vol: $5,841

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
25W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
71%
25W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-56

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.2564862861378799% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$1
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$1
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$0

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-56

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.197
Sortino
-2661.765
HHI
1091
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
67%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
47s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.6%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 11:53:12 AM8 trades$1,0742 min
7/18/2026, 9:13:31 AM55 trades$1,0642 min
6/26/2026, 8:55:20 AM8 trades$9882 min
6/21/2026, 4:33:19 AM6 trades$6031 min
6/5/2026, 6:54:51 AM4 trades$4351 min
7/22/2026, 5:33:51 AM1 trades$3540 min
6/18/2026, 8:21:55 PM2 trades$2580 min
7/28/2026, 4:46:47 PM1 trades$2490 min
6/15/2026, 6:37:58 AM5 trades$2321 min
6/15/2026, 6:49:03 AM2 trades$2010 min
5/14/2026, 8:53:55 AM18 trades$1498 min
5/28/2026, 12:54:10 PM1 trades$1190 min
7/28/2026, 10:03:53 AM10 trades$609 min
5/27/2026, 5:09:49 AM8 trades$544 min
5/9/2026, 8:49:50 AM2 trades$250 min
7/28/2026, 8:24:07 AM5 trades$245 min
5/10/2026, 9:27:36 AM2 trades$210 min
7/28/2026, 2:53:01 PM2 trades$171 min
7/27/2026, 9:25:45 PM1 trades$170 min
7/7/2026, 4:36:32 AM6 trades$92 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-14
05-28
06-15
06-21
07-02
07-18
07-22
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M0 / H98.6