Ahpo

@Ahpo

#1,96090

0xcdb1f1ef8213c06911e4ba6a884176c5571e276c

~339d· 2748 markets · 47922 tradesVol: $15,409,7362026-08-02 05:23:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (2370/2616)20/20
2.23x (win $312,437 / loss $140,247)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08015/15
Sortino 4.44810/10
$+0.0184 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 46 (2616 markets)10/10
285/321 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($43,892 / $172,190)8.9/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+98,523
DCA Master
Avg 16.4 entries/market
Whale
$9,357,895 invested
Consistent
285/321 profitable days
High Roller
$27,523/day
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
86 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,001$50,069Vol: $7,637,891
📈 ECONOMICS#371$19,879Vol: $2,580,070
💰 FINANCE#269$18,421Vol: $1,383,514
🎭 CULTURE#2,585$2,586Vol: $880,946
CRYPTO#1,639,954$-1,775Vol: $621,085
SPORTS#28,806$1,492Vol: $613,606
💻 TECH#628$2,761Vol: $279,954
📢 MENTIONS#1,763$661Vol: $162,653
🌤️ WEATHER#3,303$358Vol: $41,439

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$98,500
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,409,736
Total Redeem
$240,644
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2748
total markets
Trades
28947B / 18975S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~339d

Periods

#2
Today
$870
Vol: $98,519
Week
$2,639
Vol: $98,519
Month
$943
Vol: $105,366
All Time
$98,500
Vol: $15,409,736

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
2370W / 246L events
Realized PnL
$98,523
Win Rate
91%
2370W / 246L
Profit Factor
2.23x
Avg Win
$132
Avg Loss
$-655

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $121,221 (1.2303845329750274% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$58,441
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$39,425
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$23,354
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$8,394
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$7,988
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$6,875
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$4,017
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3,567
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3,089
Prince Andrew released by February 19?$2,960

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-26,222
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$-24,420
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$-15,539
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-5,722
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-5,324
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-5,108
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-4,057
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-3,453
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$-3,387
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$-3,153

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.085
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
43.7%
Half-Kelly
21.8%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
140.9
Very active
Markets / Day
8.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.6m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock141 trades/day — automation8.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.41
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)89.4%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 12:30:16 PM93 trades$109,73924 min
4/10/2026, 12:50:33 AM84 trades$96,37617 min
1/3/2026, 4:54:57 PM26 trades$87,97223 min
1/3/2026, 3:35:53 PM2 trades$65,3671 min
5/30/2026, 6:45:36 PM5 trades$55,7814 min
12/9/2025, 6:34:12 PM12 trades$54,0205 min
7/29/2026, 6:00:09 PM32 trades$50,6276 min
4/5/2026, 2:18:47 PM4 trades$49,8907 min
4/5/2026, 1:16:13 PM4 trades$49,8505 min
3/4/2026, 4:04:15 PM17 trades$49,5459 min
3/20/2026, 1:40:29 PM63 trades$48,68255 min
4/1/2026, 3:54:35 PM8 trades$46,9071 min
3/1/2026, 3:51:21 PM25 trades$46,1055 min
2/28/2026, 1:26:19 PM72 trades$45,68824 min
7/8/2026, 11:40:05 PM2 trades$45,0000 min
4/8/2026, 8:37:25 PM65 trades$43,82418 min
3/8/2026, 9:07:57 PM29 trades$42,94229 min
4/10/2026, 9:57:01 AM212 trades$41,40986 min
1/4/2026, 10:15:39 PM68 trades$38,35638 min
2/17/2026, 11:20:47 PM20 trades$38,16422 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-28
10-22
12-14
02-05
03-30
05-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M7.4 / H89.4