@sleepymonkey

33

0xce4d7123b294829c505302800fc7bc0590b3d0e2

~137d· 762 markets · 6214 trades2026-08-02 05:20:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (310/470)18/20
0.61x (win $17,217 / loss $28,307)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3220/15
Sortino -2.4520/10
$-0.0533 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 887 (470 markets)8.1/10
67/114 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 4094% of peak ($12,022 / $294)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 66%
DCA Master
Avg 9.1 entries/market
Whale
$208,227 invested
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,560
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$208,227
Total Redeem
$8,397
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
762
total markets
Trades
4694B / 1520S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
310W / 160L events
Realized PnL
$-8,560
Win Rate
66%
310W / 160L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-201

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,623 (0.4232220107689306% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1,585
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1,061
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$977
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$616
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$577
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$576
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$486
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$455
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$389
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$318

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,672
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$-2,836
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,243
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,132
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-1,677
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,633
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,248
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$-1,110
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,036
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-953

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.121
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.0m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 658s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)10.3%
High (>55c)66.8%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 10:08:04 PM7 trades$100,1222 min
4/22/2026, 2:13:40 PM12 trades$5,5525 min
4/23/2026, 8:47:56 PM6 trades$4,7664 min
4/22/2026, 3:32:54 PM2 trades$4,1660 min
5/7/2026, 7:22:14 AM6 trades$3,2793 min
4/1/2026, 4:47:35 PM9 trades$2,8364 min
4/8/2026, 11:47:15 AM27 trades$2,71523 min
6/8/2026, 3:36:24 PM25 trades$2,4004 min
5/8/2026, 11:24:09 AM46 trades$2,28622 min
4/21/2026, 2:44:04 PM4 trades$2,2290 min
5/7/2026, 3:19:24 PM13 trades$2,1904 min
5/1/2026, 7:07:42 PM3 trades$2,1100 min
4/22/2026, 2:25:40 PM3 trades$2,0152 min
4/29/2026, 1:42:50 PM8 trades$1,9622 min
4/26/2026, 1:08:26 PM2 trades$1,9200 min
5/1/2026, 8:29:04 PM16 trades$1,8863 min
4/11/2026, 9:28:09 PM9 trades$1,8288 min
4/24/2026, 4:24:40 PM5 trades$1,7976 min
5/1/2026, 9:03:08 PM15 trades$1,6756 min
4/4/2026, 3:53:17 PM21 trades$1,63814 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
04-08
05-03
05-22
06-12
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.9 / M10.3 / H66.8