@0xce8357…5351

#5,42297

0xce835747e39bf987de4c04052b1677e6633e5b97

~121d· 273 markets · 2622 tradesVol: $489,9552026-08-04 15:18:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (202/255)20/20
2.98x (win $71,620 / loss $24,032)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.93215/15
Sortino 12.55110/10
$+0.1497 per $1 invested7.5/10
HHI 587 (255 markets)9.6/10
72/92 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($7,140 / $54,728)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+31,146
DCA Master
Avg 11.9 entries/market
Whale
$317,981 invested
Consistent
72/92 profitable days
High Roller
$2,255/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#3,819$12,371Vol: $190,391
🏛️ POLITICS#4,269$8,579Vol: $114,873
📈 ECONOMICS#928$5,946Vol: $67,710
💰 FINANCE#2,915$1,593Vol: $59,198
⚽ SPORTS#49,630$646Vol: $20,443
🎭 CULTURE#22,098$92Vol: $10,915
💻 TECH#5,490$117Vol: $5,151
🌤️ WEATHER#294,119$-367Vol: $779

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31,146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$489,955
Total Redeem
$2,388
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
273
total markets
Trades
896B / 1726S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$191
Vol: $1,690
Week
$375
Vol: $8,601
Month
$1,038
Vol: $18,134
All Time
$31,146
Vol: $489,955

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
202W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$31,146
Win Rate
79%
202W / 53L
Profit Factor
2.98x
Avg Win
$355
Avg Loss
$-572

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,399 (0.4943967446409158% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7,097
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$4,183
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4,118
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$3,500
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$2,316
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$2,129
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$2,088
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,901
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$1,450
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,299

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-7,140
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,439
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$-1,378
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,186
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$-895
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-813
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-806
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-800
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-800
Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launch$-756

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.309
Sortino
0.325
HHI
969
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.108
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.7%
Top-5 markets
55.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1380s — normal for humanCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)94.4%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 6:04:42 PM6 trades$47,1571 min
7/6/2026, 4:02:22 PM11 trades$23,5672 min
4/1/2026, 1:45:09 AM8 trades$12,6111 min
7/25/2026, 1:57:31 PM9 trades$11,7360 min
5/23/2026, 4:01:30 PM16 trades$11,4320 min
7/21/2026, 4:11:40 PM28 trades$9,6662 min
5/28/2026, 12:38:13 AM1 trades$8,5520 min
7/21/2026, 11:36:42 PM4 trades$6,0911 min
5/13/2026, 10:08:22 PM22 trades$5,7050 min
4/30/2026, 1:42:58 AM31 trades$5,2307 min
6/20/2026, 1:21:19 PM4 trades$4,9131 min
7/30/2026, 9:28:59 PM26 trades$4,8386 min
5/16/2026, 3:34:19 AM9 trades$4,7721 min
7/21/2026, 7:20:12 PM8 trades$4,7141 min
5/21/2026, 1:06:52 AM18 trades$4,50912 min
4/30/2026, 1:50:30 PM3 trades$4,0572 min
5/21/2026, 3:02:21 PM21 trades$4,0360 min
4/29/2026, 9:38:20 PM22 trades$4,0163 min
7/23/2026, 8:28:06 PM4 trades$3,6080 min
7/29/2026, 6:48:42 PM21 trades$3,49810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
04-17
05-04
06-03
06-20
07-06
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M4.6 / H94.4