@therealcrucenho

#2,046,11428

0xd0b76cdf68b1cc03619455b92e196c72e339fa4b

~131d· 670 markets · 10078 tradesVol: $120,5392026-10-06 23:37:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (327/597)12.4/20
0.78x (win $5,168 / loss $6,602)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9070/15
Sortino -2.1900/10
$-0.0564 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 117 (597 markets)10/10
60/117 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 688687% of peak ($1,584 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 18.1 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#30,059$427Vol: $92,423
💰 FINANCE#41,583$19Vol: $12,810
⚽ SPORTS#1,856,646$-636Vol: $9,959
📈 ECONOMICS#16,340$61Vol: $2,839
₿ CRYPTO#91,540$98Vol: $2,126
🎭 CULTURE#66,889$10Vol: $321
📢 MENTIONS#36,166$2Vol: $23
💻 TECH#40,566$2Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,539
Total Redeem
$496
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
670
total markets
Trades
6250B / 3828S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$10
Vol: $1,127
All Time
$-17
Vol: $120,539

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
324W / 267L events
Realized PnL
$-17
Win Rate
55%
324W / 267L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $652 (37.830626450116014% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$253
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5$224
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$175
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$172
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$156
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$131
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$130
Commanders vs. Eagles$129
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5$128
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$121

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-712
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-445
Colts vs. Texans: O/U 39.5$-301
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-256
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-190
Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5$-187
Ravens vs. Steelers$-157
Spread: Bills (-7.5)$-150
Spread: Miami (-3.5)$-138
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-132

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.099
Sortino
-0.090
HHI
95
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
13.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.7m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.6%
High (>55c)51.1%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:25:17 PM181 trades$1,50152 min
9/21/2026, 3:21:30 PM109 trades$1,28811 min
3/11/2026, 1:19:05 PM248 trades$1,1815 min
2/6/2026, 2:19:35 PM267 trades$1,0597 min
3/2/2026, 3:01:51 PM216 trades$96411 min
4/9/2026, 7:23:21 PM141 trades$85047 min
1/4/2026, 10:40:13 PM1 trades$4750 min
5/28/2026, 2:14:58 PM18 trades$47313 min
3/3/2026, 11:06:37 PM441 trades$4449 min
1/4/2026, 12:53:27 AM6 trades$40512 min
6/17/2026, 12:00:04 AM67 trades$3735 min
4/6/2026, 2:40:27 PM84 trades$36514 min
5/14/2026, 8:59:13 AM22 trades$3085 min
5/23/2026, 9:27:40 PM28 trades$24514 min
3/4/2026, 10:17:17 PM24 trades$2365 min
5/6/2026, 1:35:00 AM22 trades$23512 min
5/22/2026, 9:34:20 PM31 trades$23513 min
5/17/2026, 1:04:33 AM2 trades$2340 min
3/3/2026, 2:21:53 PM80 trades$22164 min
4/2/2026, 1:17:21 AM36 trades$22119 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
02-07
03-24
04-12
05-12
06-05
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.3 / M35.6 / H51.1