@reasoningTokens

#2,879,0669

0xd0d9bc316073acb95addf458c2246517a3889074

~30d· 82 markets · 301 tradesVol: $265,5562026-08-04 16:21:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (27/80)1.9/20
0.64x (win $6,592 / loss $10,280)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0590/15
Sortino -2.4020/10
$-0.2926 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1372 (80 markets)5.6/10
9/26 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 195% of peak ($7,552 / $3,864)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,569,696$-234Vol: $150,315
💰 FINANCE#647,947$-306Vol: $76,933
⚽ SPORTS#1,650,206$-80Vol: $21,187
💻 TECH#250,679$-125Vol: $14,415
🎭 CULTURE#759,127$-48Vol: $1,246
₿ CRYPTO#351,405$2Vol: $201
📢 MENTIONS#12,715$26Vol: $159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-637
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$265,556
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
129B / 172S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$-300
Vol: $0
Week
$-281
Vol: $0
Month
$-141
Vol: $0
All Time
$-637
Vol: $265,556

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
27W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-637
Win Rate
34%
27W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$244
Avg Loss
$-194

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,454 (8.5655642451082% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$3,202
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1,266
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$987
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$259
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$237
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$173
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$71
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$65
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$56
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$44

Top Losers

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$-4,170
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-1,688
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$-1,068
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-606
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?$-563
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$-500
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$-200
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$-200
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-200
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-144

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.106
Sortino
-0.107
HHI
661
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.293
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
47.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.9%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 10:43:28 PM4 trades$15,0000 min
6/22/2026, 5:14:01 PM46 trades$14,3045 min
6/17/2026, 2:41:42 AM2 trades$6,0000 min
6/29/2026, 7:16:59 PM6 trades$4,7440 min
4/7/2026, 8:55:57 PM60 trades$3,5613 min
6/24/2026, 3:55:41 AM4 trades$3,5220 min
6/9/2026, 8:40:07 PM28 trades$3,3071 min
2/9/2026, 9:27:51 PM2 trades$2,5290 min
4/7/2026, 7:30:13 PM10 trades$1,5441 min
6/9/2026, 8:15:55 PM24 trades$1,1654 min
4/23/2026, 6:21:14 PM12 trades$1,0090 min
2/10/2026, 9:56:41 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
2/25/2026, 6:16:12 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/7/2026, 7:40:51 PM2 trades$9680 min
3/4/2026, 7:09:47 PM3 trades$5301 min
2/25/2026, 7:04:20 PM2 trades$5004 min
6/17/2026, 6:38:20 PM8 trades$4310 min
2/4/2026, 3:11:44 PM2 trades$2761 min
6/16/2026, 2:33:22 AM5 trades$2630 min
3/5/2026, 7:03:21 PM3 trades$2542 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-25
10-21
01-08
02-21
03-04
04-23
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.74/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.9 / M31.8 / H33.3