@maxkisel
#174,161790xd11a13f0208a1316909b04371ea973e8ffc4ed7d
~26d· 33 markets · 131 tradesVol: $9,4862026-10-08 03:04:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (14/27)10.9/20
2.36x (win $234 / loss $99)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.29015/15
Sortino 11.16610/10
$+0.1246 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 586 (27 markets)9.6/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($47 / $135)7/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+125
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Categories
5💰 FINANCE#19,877$85Vol: $5,196
💻 TECH#244,173$-13Vol: $2,384
🏛️ POLITICS#102,482$39Vol: $1,258
📈 ECONOMICS#15,095$70Vol: $338
🎭 CULTURE#75,945$8Vol: $310
Overview
#1Net PnL
$189
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,486
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
58B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Today
$11
Vol: $393
Week
$185
Vol: $2,374
Month
$106
Vol: $6,338
All Time
$189
Vol: $9,486
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
14W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$125
Win Rate
52%
14W / 13L
Profit Factor
2.36x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $118 (0.9456% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$12
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$9
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$7
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$7
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-45
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$-22
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$-16
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$-11
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$-2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.320
Sortino
0.458
HHI
606
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.122
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
41.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 758s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.26
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)82.8%
Sessions
#128/11/2026, 10:13:39 AM12 trades$3453 min
7/1/2026, 6:03:02 PM3 trades$1670 min
5/30/2026, 10:41:11 AM2 trades$1340 min
5/12/2026, 12:07:05 PM6 trades$1032 min
5/12/2026, 2:18:51 PM8 trades$975 min
6/11/2026, 7:02:51 AM2 trades$780 min
7/1/2026, 2:42:07 PM4 trades$720 min
7/11/2026, 12:39:46 PM2 trades$660 min
6/16/2026, 12:04:52 PM4 trades$641 min
5/30/2026, 9:12:06 AM6 trades$531 min
5/6/2026, 1:44:34 PM4 trades$453 min
6/22/2026, 11:08:40 AM6 trades$410 min
6/15/2026, 6:57:45 AM2 trades$400 min
7/1/2026, 5:42:59 PM2 trades$360 min
5/4/2026, 1:37:04 PM2 trades$350 min
5/20/2026, 2:44:17 PM4 trades$330 min
5/1/2026, 1:00:40 PM2 trades$320 min
4/24/2026, 10:04:00 AM2 trades$310 min
6/2/2026, 9:28:45 AM2 trades$310 min
4/24/2026, 9:46:12 AM2 trades$300 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-04
05-20
05-30
06-02
06-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 36 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.2 / M12.1 / H82.8