@laodiciwei

#3,143,51210

0xd19558a28395fe764df4ee298aeb755bb7c07b7c

~70d· 1160 markets · 8256 tradesVol: $1,251,468 @laodiciwei2026-09-21 07:46:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (362/1158)0.6/20
0.76x (win $38,660 / loss $51,141)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7440/15
Sortino -4.3780/10
$-0.1033 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1017 (1158 markets)7.4/10
25/66 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 992% of peak ($17,823 / $1,797)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Whale
$120,852 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,724,864$-14,541Vol: $1,064,837
SPORTS#1,837,107$-631Vol: $102,880
🌤️ WEATHER#305,386$-632Vol: $63,228
🎭 CULTURE#822,285$-597Vol: $11,760
📈 ECONOMICS#681,335$-181Vol: $8,763

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,582
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,251,468
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1160
total markets
Trades
7750B / 506S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$-171
Vol: $7,413
All Time
$-16,582
Vol: $1,251,468

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
362W / 796L events
Realized PnL
$-15,691
Win Rate
31%
362W / 796L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$107
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,336 (0.403812511272407% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET$3,656
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?$1,928
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$751
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$708
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$678
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$609
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$608
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?$569
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$567
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$497

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-1,235
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-990
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-940
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$-820
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$-795
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-700
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$-700
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-700
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?$-681
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-658

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.195
Sortino
-0.216
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.6%
Mid (20-55c)58.4%
High (>55c)5%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 10:02:30 PM102 trades$33,7360 min
10/21/2025, 3:54:11 PM14 trades$4,0189 min
10/18/2025, 9:44:57 AM2 trades$3,0310 min
8/12/2026, 4:47:43 PM17 trades$2,4560 min
1/4/2026, 12:41:17 PM29 trades$2,4544 min
1/7/2026, 12:34:51 PM23 trades$2,31612 min
7/27/2026, 2:18:15 AM18 trades$2,2361 min
11/4/2025, 1:57:03 PM20 trades$2,00011 min
10/18/2025, 9:31:01 AM1 trades$1,8520 min
1/5/2026, 5:06:25 AM421 trades$1,69471 min
1/13/2026, 11:55:59 AM31 trades$1,52010 min
10/18/2025, 10:00:11 AM2 trades$1,3971 min
10/18/2025, 10:29:17 AM2 trades$1,3430 min
10/27/2025, 4:30:33 PM1 trades$1,2680 min
1/5/2026, 12:30:45 PM1 trades$1,2350 min
10/29/2025, 5:30:25 PM1 trades$1,1670 min
10/31/2025, 7:43:53 PM28 trades$1,13621 min
10/30/2025, 10:44:17 AM4 trades$1,0292 min
8/8/2026, 7:11:01 AM2 trades$1,0100 min
1/10/2026, 1:43:08 PM35 trades$1,00416 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
10-28
01-02
01-13
07-09
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 248 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.6 / M58.4 / H5