@Ulvar

#1,939,49572

0xd2338a6ccdee21eb8a97e1fe5dfeec1e9d89d218

~24d· 17 markets · 68 tradesVol: $20,4252026-10-08 03:06:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (10/17)14.4/20
356.81x (win $146 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.21315/15
Sortino 2755.65710/10
$+0.0072 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 2123 (17 markets)1.9/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $146)10/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#565,933$-7Vol: $12,485
📈 ECONOMICS#546,691$-3Vol: $4,221
₿ CRYPTO#954,489$-3Vol: $3,652
🏛️ POLITICS#479,997$0Vol: $67

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,425
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
31B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
10W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
59%
10W / 7L
Profit Factor
356.56x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $121 (9.66347687400319% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$59
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$50
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$0

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$-0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$-0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$-0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$-0
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.415
Sortino
108.545
HHI
4159
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
38.6%
Half-Kelly
19.3%
Top-1 market
41.1%
Top-5 markets
137%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12045s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)87.1%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 8:25:11 AM2 trades$2,0900 min
5/8/2026, 10:14:56 AM2 trades$2,0900 min
5/7/2026, 11:14:55 AM4 trades$2,0890 min
5/7/2026, 7:54:10 AM2 trades$2,0680 min
5/9/2026, 8:58:30 AM2 trades$2,0640 min
5/9/2026, 1:05:04 PM3 trades$2,0640 min
5/7/2026, 1:16:36 PM5 trades$2,0350 min
5/8/2026, 6:04:01 AM6 trades$2,0350 min
5/8/2026, 12:51:55 PM2 trades$1,7950 min
5/9/2026, 8:21:03 AM2 trades$1,7950 min
4/28/2026, 6:12:58 AM2 trades$340 min
5/22/2026, 8:23:39 AM2 trades$320 min
5/25/2026, 10:41:56 AM2 trades$280 min
4/14/2026, 8:23:51 AM2 trades$220 min
4/15/2026, 11:03:12 AM2 trades$220 min
6/13/2026, 3:48:24 AM2 trades$210 min
4/1/2026, 8:27:49 AM2 trades$200 min
3/30/2026, 8:15:56 AM1 trades$200 min
4/8/2026, 8:24:29 AM2 trades$200 min
4/9/2026, 8:55:43 AM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-27
04-09
04-23
05-07
05-09
05-29
08-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M0 / H87.1