Kratos777

@Kratos777

#2,937,30438

0xd2b4e511f763fea19773658df0fe1b1f51c52d9b

~87d· 305 markets · 673 tradesVol: $25,050 @JesusBG142026-09-10 21:14:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (205/300)19.2/20
0.56x (win $898 / loss $1,602)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1440/15
Sortino -3.2910/10
$-0.0646 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 148 (300 markets)10/10
55/82 profitable days (67%)9.3/10
Max DD 1993% of peak ($827 / $42)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Consistent
55/82 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#25,574$73Vol: $12,201
SPORTS#1,811,077$-438Vol: $7,850
CRYPTO#1,597,102$-283Vol: $4,459
🏛️ POLITICS#1,040,334$-3Vol: $278
🌤️ WEATHER#119,658$0Vol: $84
📈 ECONOMICS#157,438$0Vol: $50
💻 TECH#208,540$-2Vol: $20
💰 FINANCE#171,661$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-651
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,050
Total Redeem
$102
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
305
total markets
Trades
487B / 186S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $450
Week
$22
Vol: $1,676
Month
$22
Vol: $1,676
All Time
$-651
Vol: $25,050

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
205W / 95L events
Realized PnL
$-651
Win Rate
68%
205W / 95L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $196 (0.3006517862632971% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$74
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?$48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$27

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET$-292
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?$-241
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?$-175
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?$-110
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11AM ET$-64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$-50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$-32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.164
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
142
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
17.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 728s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.9%
High (>55c)62.8%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 5:59:08 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
11/4/2025, 6:17:57 PM1 trades$5000 min
6/8/2026, 2:02:45 PM25 trades$3896 min
1/9/2026, 9:48:48 AM5 trades$3839 min
11/5/2025, 9:35:21 PM2 trades$3603 min
11/9/2025, 8:50:39 PM2 trades$3570 min
11/8/2025, 5:48:31 PM2 trades$3451 min
5/29/2026, 9:38:40 PM9 trades$3243 min
11/8/2025, 11:17:57 AM1 trades$3000 min
11/8/2025, 10:21:41 AM1 trades$2940 min
11/14/2025, 6:56:32 AM2 trades$2921 min
11/13/2025, 5:31:56 AM4 trades$2922 min
5/19/2026, 11:31:39 AM13 trades$2433 min
5/6/2026, 5:01:30 AM12 trades$2402 min
5/12/2026, 5:43:54 PM13 trades$2152 min
9/7/2026, 12:42:34 PM7 trades$2103 min
5/9/2026, 5:13:43 PM9 trades$2091 min
11/13/2025, 6:01:18 PM4 trades$2005 min
11/11/2025, 6:59:50 PM4 trades$1933 min
6/17/2026, 8:20:29 PM15 trades$1875 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-27
11-10
01-08
02-08
03-20
04-29
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 185 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M26.9 / H62.8