lizzyb

@lizzyb

#27,64693

0xd3e3f209d9701a981e196bc297d2b5a5211467dc

~171d· 185 markets · 1174 tradesVol: $106,8652026-08-02 07:38:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (97/131)20/20
3.54x (win $5,017 / loss $1,417)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.95415/15
Sortino 16.88210/10
$+0.0699 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 268 (131 markets)10/10
60/79 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($423 / $3,843)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+4,490
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$51,472 invested
Consistent
60/79 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#8,034$3,519Vol: $85,579
🎭 CULTURE#10,683$309Vol: $5,063
CRYPTO#87,120$111Vol: $5,020
💰 FINANCE#10,316$267Vol: $4,490
💻 TECH#8,723$48Vol: $2,154
SPORTS#86,194$207Vol: $2,089
📈 ECONOMICS#30,180$19Vol: $1,670
🌤️ WEATHER#23,645$9Vol: $800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,490
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,865
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
185
total markets
Trades
980B / 194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~171d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $614
Week
$-141
Vol: $614
Month
$-6
Vol: $614
All Time
$4,490
Vol: $106,865

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
97W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$4,490
Win Rate
74%
97W / 34L
Profit Factor
3.54x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,184 (0.2637580708744719% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?$495
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$347
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$343
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$206
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$175
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$169
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$137
Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?$120
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$118
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$114

Top Losers

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$-316
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$-218
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-124
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$-90
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$-82
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-70
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-68
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-63
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$-57
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.362
Sortino
0.504
HHI
131
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
6.1%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1066s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.6%
Mid (20-55c)36.1%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
12/17/2025, 7:45:18 AM5 trades$3,4557 min
5/20/2026, 12:08:45 AM28 trades$2,79212 min
6/25/2026, 6:21:38 AM4 trades$1,9810 min
10/10/2025, 6:21:02 AM3 trades$1,9320 min
12/4/2025, 3:25:45 AM5 trades$1,2118 min
2/1/2026, 5:39:10 AM8 trades$1,2034 min
5/10/2026, 9:48:33 PM12 trades$1,1102 min
6/30/2026, 7:42:37 AM1 trades$9950 min
12/11/2025, 8:08:59 AM1 trades$9480 min
12/9/2025, 12:31:41 AM4 trades$9044 min
3/21/2026, 6:42:09 PM1 trades$8910 min
7/15/2026, 12:59:04 PM1 trades$8620 min
11/5/2025, 12:44:29 AM4 trades$8121 min
9/30/2025, 12:04:29 AM1 trades$7490 min
2/8/2026, 8:08:07 AM2 trades$7463 min
1/5/2026, 12:00:57 AM5 trades$6925 min
6/25/2025, 12:26:17 AM1 trades$6850 min
12/9/2025, 1:30:55 AM3 trades$6573 min
12/17/2025, 9:14:25 AM1 trades$6360 min
3/4/2026, 3:15:47 AM7 trades$6361 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
11-13
01-06
03-01
03-23
05-07
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.6 / M36.1 / H43.3