@fibonacho

#264,25048

0xd5a56b05ede86a18fe48542c303f65bf42fc89fd

~46d· 70 markets · 158 tradesVol: $17,3472026-10-07 23:21:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (15/55)0/20
1.37x (win $538 / loss $393)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.11415/15
Sortino 5.67910/10
$+0.1130 per $1 invested5.7/10
HHI 916 (55 markets)7.9/10
11/28 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 90% of peak ($131 / $146)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+74
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#11,023$123Vol: $10,054
₿ CRYPTO#1,364,907$-36Vol: $2,254
⚽ SPORTS#1,543,602$-29Vol: $1,667
💰 FINANCE#22,017$70Vol: $1,643
🏛️ POLITICS#1,479,131$-50Vol: $1,491
🎭 CULTURE#629,307$-4Vol: $205

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$74
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,347
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
102B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $0
Week
$-32
Vol: $276
Month
$15
Vol: $462
All Time
$74
Vol: $17,347

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
14W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$74
Win Rate
26%
14W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $367 (4.9656524678837055% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed rate hike in 2026?$196
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$100
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$71
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$51
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of February?$43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?$22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$10
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$8
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz$6

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$-50
US recession in 2025?$-50
US stagflation in 2025?$-40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-23
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$-22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?$-20
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen $-15
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-13
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$-12
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.351
HHI
618
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.129
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.1%
Top-5 markets
43%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)11.8%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 8:28:59 AM2 trades$3100 min
7/15/2026, 12:34:01 PM9 trades$2861 min
8/1/2025, 1:11:18 PM6 trades$2771 min
8/5/2025, 9:17:04 AM1 trades$2190 min
4/7/2026, 1:06:51 PM2 trades$1670 min
5/30/2026, 6:55:03 PM11 trades$1010 min
2/23/2026, 6:35:40 PM5 trades$1001 min
10/1/2026, 12:04:02 PM5 trades$960 min
9/15/2026, 9:57:49 AM8 trades$891 min
5/26/2026, 4:26:50 PM2 trades$870 min
11/20/2025, 2:27:09 PM3 trades$803 min
8/31/2026, 1:47:31 PM5 trades$690 min
9/28/2026, 3:35:21 PM4 trades$530 min
2/24/2026, 9:33:08 PM3 trades$531 min
7/10/2025, 10:23:24 PM2 trades$400 min
10/1/2026, 12:40:21 PM2 trades$400 min
2/15/2026, 10:54:51 AM4 trades$351 min
7/4/2025, 4:34:57 AM2 trades$302 min
9/30/2026, 7:47:24 AM2 trades$300 min
10/1/2026, 9:13:29 AM2 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
08-05
12-29
01-12
01-30
03-08
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.6 / M18.6 / H11.8