@Optimus-

86

0xd5b97d08ec6098407bfbf66c2786ccc9967fe44e

~537d· 2478 markets · 16111 trades2026-08-02 04:05:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (1476/2377)16/20
1.84x (win $194,173 / loss $105,410)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.05515/15
Sortino 7.61810/10
$+0.0748 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 50 (2377 markets)10/10
281/437 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($8,746 / $92,624)10/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+95,464
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,186,856 invested
Consistent
281/437 profitable days
High Roller
$2,005/day
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$95,464
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,186,856
Total Redeem
$3,011
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2478
total markets
Trades
11678B / 4433S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~537d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
1476W / 901L events
Realized PnL
$95,464
Win Rate
62%
1476W / 901L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$132
Avg Loss
$-119

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,748 (0.259242533993056% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?$11,337
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$6,974
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$6,438
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$4,532
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$4,318
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$3,705
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?$3,248
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?$2,773
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$2,401
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$2,245

Top Losers

Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?$-9,093
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-8,744
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$-2,827
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-2,145
Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$-1,921
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,906
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,677
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$-1,493
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?$-1,407
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,336

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.212
Sortino
0.256
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.2
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 468s — normal for humanCV 4.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.5%
High (>55c)49.7%

Sessions

#12
10/27/2025, 1:47:51 AM14 trades$32,82025 min
6/2/2026, 3:55:54 PM4 trades$19,8201 min
2/9/2026, 10:40:49 AM4 trades$18,0048 min
7/9/2026, 3:25:26 PM1 trades$13,9860 min
12/10/2025, 12:26:12 AM4 trades$13,4572 min
10/27/2025, 3:16:07 AM4 trades$12,3227 min
2/2/2026, 3:32:12 PM3 trades$11,2803 min
12/19/2025, 11:04:23 PM9 trades$10,9802 min
6/13/2026, 10:28:54 AM15 trades$10,8892 min
4/30/2026, 10:47:00 AM1 trades$9,9800 min
12/5/2025, 4:01:09 PM3 trades$9,7942 min
2/2/2026, 12:17:28 AM3 trades$9,5544 min
12/3/2025, 8:50:31 PM14 trades$9,30127 min
1/29/2026, 6:48:08 PM6 trades$8,9824 min
2/1/2026, 8:06:10 PM4 trades$8,9820 min
6/12/2026, 3:52:40 PM24 trades$8,93412 min
12/11/2025, 6:29:31 PM6 trades$8,9265 min
6/6/2026, 9:30:37 AM16 trades$8,2330 min
1/2/2026, 2:01:35 PM11 trades$7,5987 min
5/12/2026, 10:47:57 AM3 trades$7,1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
05-13
07-30
10-15
12-29
04-10
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.8 / M31.5 / H49.7