Polydata

@thegreatjeff

#3,068,13594

0xd60419ae698bd0ae7c0ef69470bfc1e0f9a9bc8a

~17d· 13 markets · 720 tradesVol: $4,536,6002026-07-31 13:46:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (9/13)19.6/20
14.90x (win $516,531 / loss $34,676)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 13.37015/15
Sortino 131.39210/10
$+0.3738 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1570 (13 markets)4.7/10
8/11 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($19,758 / $481,855)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Contrarian
94% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 55.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,289,017 invested
Consistent
8/11 profitable days
High Roller
$19,831/day
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,881,316$-222,734Vol: $4,395,072
📈 ECONOMICS#672$9,226Vol: $138,926
🌤️ WEATHER#295,881$-800Vol: $1,370
CRYPTO#1,613,096$-999Vol: $1,233

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-215,308
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,536,600
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
200B / 520S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Week
$9,226
Vol: $140,295
Month
$-521,888
Vol: $3,216,582
All Time
$-215,308
Vol: $4,536,600

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
9W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-215,308
Win Rate
69%
9W / 4L
Profit Factor
14.9x
Avg Win
$57,392
Avg Loss
$-8,669

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $384,448 (1.785574220415857% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$207,100
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$92,347
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$85,001
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64,984
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$36,675
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$12,489
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$9,235
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$8,400
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$300

Top Losers

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-19,758
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$-6,400
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,656
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,862

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.667
Sortino
5.130
HHI
1513
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.374
Kelly %
37.9%
Half-Kelly
18.9%
Top-1 market
25.5%
Top-5 markets
74.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.7m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 4.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity11 trades/day — very active0.2 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
55.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)89.5%
High (>55c)6.5%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 9:31:11 PM38 trades$475,2030 min
7/9/2026, 9:39:02 PM104 trades$431,9680 min
5/26/2026, 3:25:05 AM3 trades$200,0000 min
6/16/2026, 3:24:15 AM121 trades$184,9051 min
7/29/2026, 12:19:45 PM26 trades$144,8120 min
7/4/2026, 4:54:49 AM17 trades$128,8070 min
6/4/2026, 5:08:00 AM41 trades$58,2710 min
6/6/2026, 1:10:34 AM2 trades$48,3370 min
7/12/2026, 3:15:07 AM43 trades$46,1120 min
5/29/2026, 6:23:20 AM24 trades$45,0880 min
5/31/2026, 3:10:55 AM13 trades$40,0541 min
7/13/2026, 9:37:29 AM2 trades$36,6740 min
6/2/2026, 12:41:30 AM46 trades$33,5410 min
6/27/2026, 1:27:25 PM5 trades$30,0000 min
5/30/2026, 4:06:55 PM65 trades$25,0000 min
6/14/2026, 10:14:27 AM59 trades$20,7223 min
5/30/2026, 2:32:12 PM15 trades$15,90016 min
6/15/2026, 12:55:01 AM1 trades$6,4000 min
6/2/2026, 2:40:41 PM8 trades$3,76216 min
6/2/2026, 8:34:37 PM4 trades$2,3857 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
06-06
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-27
07-04
07-09
07-12
07-14
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 55.38/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L4 / M89.5 / H6.5