akinshin

@akinshin

#1,508,21937

0xd6d39cc40e190bf728d29799b203755d12e0ef3b

~95d· 194 markets · 258 tradesVol: $21,5012026-09-10 23:03:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (128/193)18.2/20
0.76x (win $9 / loss $12)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3670/15
Sortino -1.7340/10
$-0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 765 (193 markets)8.7/10
59/84 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 304% of peak ($7 / $2)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Consistent
59/84 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,044,202$-5Vol: $14,470
🏛️ POLITICS#732,945$-0Vol: $3,079
🎭 CULTURE#104,445$4Vol: $2,137
📈 ECONOMICS#519,314$-2Vol: $1,765
💻 TECH#93,476$0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,501
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
194
total markets
Trades
200B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $6
Month
$-0
Vol: $11
All Time
$-3
Vol: $21,501

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
128W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$-3
Win Rate
66%
128W / 65L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (1.0782312925170068% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1
Will Biden finish his term?$1
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 11–18?$1
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$1
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?$0
Ethereum above $3800 on August 13?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?$-2
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-1
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$-1
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$-1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$-1
Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
622
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.000
Kelly %
41.6%
Half-Kelly
20.8%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
42.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97%

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 7:42:25 AM3 trades$1,0161 min
12/27/2025, 9:32:55 AM3 trades$1,0151 min
12/21/2025, 6:54:56 PM2 trades$5103 min
12/21/2025, 7:56:08 AM2 trades$5105 min
12/22/2025, 7:39:17 PM2 trades$5105 min
12/22/2025, 8:26:11 AM1 trades$5090 min
12/25/2025, 6:54:41 AM2 trades$5092 min
12/28/2025, 7:32:35 PM2 trades$5081 min
12/25/2025, 7:24:55 PM2 trades$5081 min
12/20/2025, 7:23:04 AM1 trades$5080 min
12/27/2025, 7:28:35 PM2 trades$5081 min
12/30/2025, 8:20:11 AM1 trades$5080 min
12/24/2025, 7:23:31 AM1 trades$5080 min
12/23/2025, 6:49:49 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/28/2025, 9:25:31 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/25/2025, 6:44:49 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/23/2025, 6:59:51 PM1 trades$5070 min
12/20/2025, 7:46:55 PM1 trades$5070 min
12/26/2025, 7:16:21 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/29/2025, 7:40:35 PM2 trades$5060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
03-24
06-18
09-22
12-23
03-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M0 / H97