@cacato

#2,782,36875

0xd6df99cedecd9ae5cf7b9f830a5d8ca59cc0d71d

~37d· 168 markets · 786 tradesVol: $13,2742026-08-02 07:55:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (8/16)10/20
2.97x (win $480 / loss $162)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.17015/15
Sortino 38.46710/10
$+0.0608 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 1112 (16 markets)6.9/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($30 / $349)10/10

Badges

3
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,490,178$-68Vol: $4,386
SPORTS#1,634,073$-70Vol: $2,447
💰 FINANCE#621,961$-61Vol: $2,380
CRYPTO#1,397,997$-55Vol: $1,922
🎭 CULTURE#743,597$-31Vol: $1,142
📈 ECONOMICS#579,364$-6Vol: $597
🌤️ WEATHER#225,026$-5Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-309
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,274
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
168
total markets
Trades
566B / 220S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $130
Week
$-80
Vol: $130
Month
$-28
Vol: $796
All Time
$-309
Vol: $13,274

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
8W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-309
Win Rate
50%
8W / 8L
Profit Factor
2.97x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $296 (0.959403855499757% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$149
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$81
Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$65
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$53
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$50
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$40
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$39
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?$2

Top Losers

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-58
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$-28
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?$-27
Will Astralis make a roster change before July?$-19
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$-13
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$-11
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?$-3
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.510
Sortino
2.329
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.508
Kelly %
12.0%
Half-Kelly
6.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.2
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
34.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2091s — normal for humanCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active4.1 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.2%
High (>55c)68.4%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 10:13:07 AM36 trades$2306 min
7/25/2026, 5:19:01 AM24 trades$2125 min
7/30/2026, 11:50:33 AM21 trades$1762 min
7/12/2026, 8:53:35 PM21 trades$1375 min
7/27/2026, 7:42:39 PM7 trades$1240 min
8/1/2026, 8:11:00 PM11 trades$1201 min
8/1/2026, 12:02:23 PM6 trades$980 min
7/4/2026, 6:36:44 PM4 trades$771 min
7/4/2026, 12:10:07 PM3 trades$771 min
7/4/2026, 4:20:53 AM4 trades$761 min
7/4/2026, 7:26:50 AM3 trades$731 min
7/3/2026, 9:30:17 PM3 trades$721 min
7/27/2026, 5:53:12 PM2 trades$712 min
7/23/2026, 5:33:46 PM4 trades$700 min
7/4/2026, 9:11:58 PM4 trades$671 min
7/29/2026, 1:36:06 PM7 trades$633 min
7/6/2026, 7:51:07 AM6 trades$590 min
7/21/2026, 7:52:19 PM4 trades$562 min
7/3/2026, 11:52:20 PM4 trades$541 min
7/30/2026, 11:19:33 AM1 trades$530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
07-04
07-13
07-19
07-25
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M30.2 / H68.4