@Frayzer22

#2,996,65719

0xd72faaeae18503ad3a958ce84f40224028d169f3

~40d· 58 markets · 246 tradesVol: $90,6922026-10-08 04:47:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (18/49)3.4/20
0.97x (win $2,815 / loss $2,908)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2550/15
Sortino -0.3650/10
$-0.0139 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 470 (49 markets)10/10
11/25 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 352% of peak ($1,170 / $333)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#797,553$-136Vol: $54,005
🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,005$-464Vol: $33,128
📈 ECONOMICS#11,702$111Vol: $1,638
💰 FINANCE#647,569$-138Vol: $1,167
⚽ SPORTS#1,702,737$-93Vol: $483
₿ CRYPTO#839,438$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-791
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,692
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
141B / 105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-19
Vol: $973
Month
$-72
Vol: $1,247
All Time
$-791
Vol: $90,692

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
18W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-791
Win Rate
37%
18W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$156
Avg Loss
$-97

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,478 (1.8669547418694563% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$545
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$512
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$421
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$275
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$265
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$166
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$151
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$141
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$134
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$117

Top Losers

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$-431
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-400
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-314
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-260
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-240
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-206
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-150
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$-138
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-103
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
469
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.2%
Mid (20-55c)46.8%
High (>55c)22%

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 4:18:44 PM42 trades$1,3246 min
1/12/2026, 11:08:16 AM1 trades$8050 min
1/12/2026, 11:18:24 AM4 trades$8051 min
1/12/2026, 6:40:53 PM2 trades$7951 min
5/18/2026, 8:43:52 PM9 trades$5400 min
1/19/2026, 6:36:04 PM2 trades$5192 min
4/30/2026, 9:46:12 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/23/2026, 10:12:58 AM7 trades$4860 min
4/17/2026, 4:03:12 PM11 trades$4682 min
4/14/2026, 7:58:11 AM2 trades$4300 min
1/12/2026, 7:06:27 PM1 trades$4220 min
4/27/2026, 8:59:00 PM1 trades$4200 min
3/1/2026, 4:21:59 PM2 trades$4121 min
2/16/2026, 5:21:25 AM2 trades$4080 min
4/10/2026, 11:58:37 AM6 trades$3560 min
3/1/2026, 6:26:21 PM3 trades$3502 min
4/19/2026, 3:30:56 PM11 trades$3080 min
10/4/2026, 11:51:23 AM5 trades$2721 min
1/14/2026, 5:58:42 PM1 trades$2600 min
4/12/2026, 1:07:39 PM3 trades$2170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-22
01-13
02-21
03-08
04-04
04-18
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.2 / M46.8 / H22