@0xd76de3…8131

#270,4106

0xd76de32df6a40901a87364ec3059aa1e57cc9457

~17d· 38 markets · 310 tradesVol: $45,5992026-08-26 09:58:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (11/38)0/20
0.68x (win $289 / loss $426)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0330/15
Sortino -2.6540/10
$-0.0949 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1345 (38 markets)5.8/10
4/16 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($337 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+78
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#20,509$105Vol: $34,353
🌤️ WEATHER#14,850$26Vol: $6,315
CRYPTO#1,379,631$-40Vol: $3,283
🏛️ POLITICS#1,411,033$-25Vol: $1,530
SPORTS#261,364$13Vol: $63
💰 FINANCE#454,573$-1Vol: $56

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$77
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,599
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
91B / 219S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $143
Week
$72
Vol: $1,047
Month
$442
Vol: $29,886
All Time
$77
Vol: $45,599

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
11W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$78
Win Rate
29%
11W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $266 (3.4056893900563807% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?$206
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9?$30
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$29
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-227
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$-88
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-22
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-14
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?$-11
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$-8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$-6
Will Putin visit China by May 31?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.103
Sortino
-0.121
HHI
2219
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40%
Top-5 markets
85.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)30.8%

Sessions

#12
8/11/2026, 2:40:13 PM17 trades$3890 min
7/31/2026, 7:37:06 AM20 trades$3820 min
7/31/2026, 4:53:23 AM8 trades$3750 min
8/11/2026, 5:08:37 PM5 trades$3480 min
8/12/2026, 2:02:04 PM7 trades$2830 min
8/25/2026, 3:09:48 PM2 trades$2490 min
8/11/2026, 3:15:03 PM20 trades$2273 min
5/10/2026, 11:55:05 AM10 trades$2035 min
8/13/2026, 8:48:37 AM13 trades$1700 min
8/12/2026, 6:55:01 PM8 trades$1652 min
8/11/2026, 6:22:45 PM4 trades$1320 min
7/31/2026, 5:23:41 AM14 trades$1182 min
5/11/2026, 10:09:59 AM2 trades$1110 min
8/9/2026, 9:34:43 AM10 trades$1070 min
5/10/2026, 9:14:51 AM4 trades$1050 min
8/11/2026, 3:44:40 PM4 trades$981 min
5/10/2026, 3:38:46 PM14 trades$923 min
5/15/2026, 5:18:10 PM4 trades$840 min
6/30/2026, 11:45:44 AM8 trades$583 min
7/5/2026, 5:53:58 PM10 trades$544 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
05-10
05-12
06-30
07-25
07-31
08-11
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.47/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.7 / M28.6 / H30.8