@jaroslawkret
#188,528210xd77e514d86a9fbb611bd858e8dd59a44df75098a
~80d· 69 markets · 839 tradesVol: $54,6642026-09-10 21:12:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (28/68)5.6/20
0.93x (win $3,256 / loss $3,518)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5590/15
Sortino -0.8330/10
$-0.0390 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 617 (68 markets)9.4/10
16/34 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 105577% of peak ($1,320 / $1)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+9
Contrarian
86% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🌤️ WEATHER#6,112$143Vol: $23,833
🎭 CULTURE#8,850$434Vol: $12,995
⚽ SPORTS#107,775$132Vol: $12,656
📈 ECONOMICS#686,901$-587Vol: $4,523
💻 TECH#8,511$57Vol: $380
🏛️ POLITICS#1,151,964$-5Vol: $276
Overview
#1Net PnL
$175
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,664
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
748B / 91S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d
Periods
#2Today
$160
Vol: $2,671
Week
$182
Vol: $11,739
Month
$168
Vol: $21,133
All Time
$175
Vol: $54,664
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
28W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$9
Win Rate
41%
28W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$116
Avg Loss
$-90
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,226 (258.7918604651163% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?$846
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$729
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?$651
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$481
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$187
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?$94
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?$66
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?$47
Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on April 25?$43
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?$31
Top Losers
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$-677
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$-674
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?$-467
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?$-416
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10.5m?$-399
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?$-276
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?$-185
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 12m?$-157
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on April 25?$-52
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?$-45
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.029
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
613
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
44.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)69.5%
High (>55c)13.8%
Sessions
#121/11/2026, 7:01:38 AM2 trades$2960 min
1/9/2026, 8:38:44 AM24 trades$27717 min
8/6/2025, 6:32:34 AM1 trades$2570 min
1/18/2026, 8:31:44 AM3 trades$2472 min
8/16/2025, 10:23:42 PM1 trades$2460 min
1/9/2026, 7:34:00 PM14 trades$2195 min
1/8/2026, 4:11:34 PM6 trades$1856 min
7/10/2025, 3:13:06 PM1 trades$1750 min
8/1/2025, 1:13:54 PM1 trades$1710 min
9/2/2025, 5:12:06 PM5 trades$1642 min
10/20/2025, 1:35:09 PM1 trades$1510 min
1/8/2026, 12:10:09 PM13 trades$1274 min
1/7/2026, 7:58:21 PM5 trades$1232 min
9/3/2025, 4:34:42 PM2 trades$1231 min
1/15/2026, 3:35:28 PM38 trades$1196 min
8/1/2025, 12:31:48 PM5 trades$1170 min
10/25/2025, 4:03:05 PM1 trades$1160 min
8/4/2025, 11:13:26 AM1 trades$1140 min
1/8/2026, 3:42:42 PM12 trades$1082 min
1/18/2026, 9:07:02 AM2 trades$1081 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
03-08
04-23
07-23
08-17
01-05
01-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 217 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.29/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.7 / M69.5 / H13.8