@tradervader

#22,30286

0xd7e6416395c97509e33ff92e0a0a98bd0eff4f99

~92d· 192 markets · 1252 tradesVol: $421,9062026-08-04 15:07:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (89/141)16.6/20
1.97x (win $10,042 / loss $5,106)14.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.85715/15
Sortino 11.38210/10
$+0.0286 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 358 (141 markets)10/10
34/50 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($1,228 / $4,936)9/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+5,854
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$172,750 invested
Consistent
34/50 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#12,173$1,852Vol: $194,600
₿ CRYPTO#12,599$3,706Vol: $184,177
📈 ECONOMICS#6,618$290Vol: $26,366
🎭 CULTURE#15,776$163Vol: $11,006
⚽ SPORTS#1,745,875$-216Vol: $3,102
💰 FINANCE#20,211$81Vol: $2,654

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,876
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$421,906
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
652B / 600S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$-35
Vol: $0
Week
$60
Vol: $0
Month
$158
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,876
Vol: $421,906

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
89W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$5,854
Win Rate
63%
89W / 52L
Profit Factor
1.97x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-98

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,129 (0.7052807439813731% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$2,795
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$732
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$602
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$468
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$403
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$389
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$351
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?$318
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$312
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?$244

Top Losers

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$-792
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$-500
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?$-300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-283
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-250
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-250
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?$-200
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-200
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-200
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$-176

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.200
Sortino
0.475
HHI
270
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
26.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.66
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.6%
High (>55c)66.1%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 9:43:15 PM157 trades$13,75329 min
7/18/2026, 4:08:36 PM77 trades$8,25523 min
11/24/2025, 8:09:35 PM4 trades$6,1561 min
11/5/2025, 11:18:33 AM6 trades$6,0303 min
7/17/2026, 9:11:45 PM39 trades$5,92313 min
11/14/2025, 2:23:36 PM7 trades$5,4355 min
12/3/2025, 6:21:13 PM3 trades$5,2542 min
2/6/2026, 6:29:35 PM5 trades$5,0006 min
10/17/2025, 8:37:53 PM7 trades$4,8405 min
2/6/2026, 5:40:09 PM3 trades$4,6902 min
11/19/2025, 6:07:17 PM4 trades$4,5265 min
11/19/2025, 9:52:27 PM5 trades$4,3923 min
10/10/2025, 6:51:04 AM3 trades$4,0232 min
11/4/2025, 1:52:31 PM3 trades$4,0143 min
11/19/2025, 9:46:05 AM2 trades$4,0000 min
10/24/2025, 2:14:45 PM4 trades$3,7475 min
11/28/2025, 2:55:45 PM3 trades$3,7321 min
2/7/2026, 6:29:51 PM3 trades$3,6532 min
12/3/2025, 9:35:01 AM18 trades$3,36125 min
2/8/2026, 12:32:13 PM4 trades$3,0731 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
10-10
11-04
11-21
12-03
12-25
02-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.3 / M12.6 / H66.1