@0xd830E2…1023

#2,767,87815

0xd830e22a82c600a7fbd049c7d446a33c12263896

~94d· 259 markets · 1349 tradesVol: $28,0672026-08-26 09:16:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (99/231)6.4/20
0.71x (win $642 / loss $901)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7990/15
Sortino -4.6760/10
$-0.0965 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 857 (231 markets)8.2/10
25/75 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 1371% of peak ($298 / $22)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#28,821$58Vol: $16,938
SPORTS#1,675,620$-91Vol: $4,855
CRYPTO#1,500,650$-107Vol: $4,347
💰 FINANCE#639,052$-101Vol: $1,252
🏛️ POLITICS#834,378$-1Vol: $292
💻 TECH#16,778$13Vol: $192
📢 MENTIONS#30,262$3Vol: $79
🌤️ WEATHER#206,330$-2Vol: $5
📈 ECONOMICS#81,031$2Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-230
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,067
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
259
total markets
Trades
688B / 661S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-61
Vol: $2,254
All Time
$-230
Vol: $28,067

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
99W / 132L events
Realized PnL
$-130
Win Rate
43%
99W / 132L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139 (1.0655159186804757% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$74
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$23
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$19
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$18
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$18

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-90
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$-49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-23
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-21
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-07-25?$-21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.198
Sortino
-0.245
HHI
203
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.097
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 479s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)30.7%
High (>55c)55.4%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 11:12:59 PM6 trades$1,6002 min
7/11/2026, 11:05:04 PM2 trades$4000 min
3/31/2026, 4:12:43 PM18 trades$2181 min
4/7/2026, 3:53:03 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/27/2026, 8:49:10 AM14 trades$1513 min
4/24/2026, 8:16:46 PM10 trades$971 min
4/10/2026, 1:45:31 PM3 trades$960 min
4/10/2026, 2:38:33 PM2 trades$940 min
3/31/2026, 10:33:39 PM13 trades$936 min
4/26/2026, 7:58:38 PM12 trades$881 min
4/2/2026, 6:52:59 PM17 trades$831 min
4/24/2026, 7:51:02 AM10 trades$742 min
4/24/2026, 4:15:32 PM4 trades$711 min
3/31/2026, 8:31:17 AM4 trades$605 min
4/23/2026, 9:21:48 AM7 trades$605 min
4/2/2026, 9:51:29 AM4 trades$561 min
4/2/2026, 6:11:05 PM7 trades$564 min
6/12/2026, 4:11:03 PM2 trades$560 min
4/1/2026, 1:24:37 PM3 trades$540 min
4/10/2026, 3:25:39 PM1 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-29
06-07
06-19
07-04
07-21
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 111 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M30.7 / H55.4