@LukeZ

#54,75885

0xd8d4fc5338724f9282e419ff6bb2119173f9494d

~65d· 45 markets · 308 tradesVol: $38,5632026-10-08 03:04:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (19/36)11.4/20
2.82x (win $5,041 / loss $1,788)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.57915/15
Sortino 19.24710/10
$+0.2118 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 983 (36 markets)7.6/10
14/25 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($530 / $3,332)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,865
DCA Master
Avg 8.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#3,279$1,379Vol: $20,004
📈 ECONOMICS#3,303$907Vol: $12,673
⚽ SPORTS#1,842,807$-496Vol: $3,875
🏛️ POLITICS#74,692$75Vol: $1,750

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,865
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,563
Total Redeem
$99
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
210B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $0
Week
$240
Vol: $0
Month
$467
Vol: $2,655
All Time
$1,865
Vol: $38,563

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
19W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$1,865
Win Rate
53%
19W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.82x
Avg Win
$265
Avg Loss
$-112

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,879 (1.543218612629999% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1,359
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$949
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$571
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$384
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$252
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$246
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$210
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$190
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$185
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$139

Top Losers

Thunder vs. Pacers$-500
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$-352
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-126
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-107
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$-100
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$-98
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$-90
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$-81
Fed rate hike in 2026?$-80
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.337
Sortino
0.878
HHI
841
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.214
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
56.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1178s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)70%

Sessions

#12
11/12/2025, 1:13:02 AM1 trades$3,3610 min
6/10/2025, 3:54:17 AM3 trades$1,7006 min
12/1/2025, 5:34:40 PM1 trades$1,5550 min
8/30/2026, 12:38:27 AM23 trades$1,3735 min
8/1/2025, 1:23:26 PM3 trades$1,0525 min
5/26/2026, 11:48:49 PM8 trades$1,0241 min
11/14/2025, 2:03:22 PM2 trades$8160 min
4/24/2026, 3:21:52 AM7 trades$7800 min
9/15/2026, 4:54:57 PM1 trades$5940 min
9/18/2026, 3:21:33 AM6 trades$5801 min
4/24/2026, 6:21:40 AM1 trades$5690 min
9/16/2026, 12:34:45 AM3 trades$5340 min
11/28/2025, 12:43:15 PM1 trades$5160 min
12/1/2025, 6:29:24 PM2 trades$4932 min
7/2/2026, 4:07:55 PM2 trades$4840 min
9/3/2025, 12:41:24 PM3 trades$4500 min
6/12/2026, 4:21:03 PM1 trades$4340 min
8/12/2025, 9:25:51 PM3 trades$3930 min
7/10/2026, 7:32:23 AM4 trades$3851 min
4/19/2026, 11:19:26 AM4 trades$3790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
08-01
12-01
12-23
05-04
07-02
09-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M20.5 / H70