@0xD8FC40…3830

#2,850,65216

0xd8fc40367f3c1cb122265a42f985634543305daf

~36d· 47 markets · 201 tradesVol: $14,2962026-08-26 03:06:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (17/40)6.2/20
0.78x (win $602 / loss $770)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0660/15
Sortino -3.7630/10
$-0.0631 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 368 (40 markets)10/10
7/23 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($371 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#133,859$83Vol: $3,549
🏛️ POLITICS#1,550,210$-133Vol: $1,069
🎭 CULTURE#71,361$9Vol: $533

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-390
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,296
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
130B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-316
Vol: $2,090
All Time
$-390
Vol: $14,296

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
17W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-390
Win Rate
43%
17W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (0.5377039088950446% of PnL)

Top Winners

Games Total: O/U 2.5$73
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$68
Games Total: O/U 2.5$68
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?$59
Games Total: O/U 2.5$39
Games Total: O/U 2.5$38
Games Total: O/U 2.5$36
Games Total: O/U 2.5$36
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)$35
Games Total: O/U 2.5$33

Top Losers

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-73
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$-73
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-72
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?$-67
Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$-61
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-58
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$-55
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-41
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-41
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.215
HHI
107
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1372s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.1%
Mid (20-55c)43.8%
High (>55c)33.1%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 8:25:40 AM27 trades$1,0391 min
7/1/2026, 5:51:22 PM5 trades$4821 min
5/14/2026, 9:24:24 PM2 trades$1180 min
4/15/2026, 10:31:04 PM3 trades$1000 min
4/15/2026, 10:54:56 PM3 trades$1000 min
5/2/2026, 4:07:32 PM10 trades$1000 min
6/19/2026, 11:08:37 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/15/2026, 7:57:42 PM2 trades$950 min
5/30/2026, 7:03:41 PM8 trades$881 min
7/23/2026, 8:20:09 AM4 trades$750 min
4/15/2026, 10:44:18 PM4 trades$730 min
5/11/2026, 8:50:28 PM2 trades$720 min
4/25/2026, 1:16:08 PM2 trades$700 min
3/24/2026, 9:55:25 PM7 trades$687 min
8/1/2026, 2:18:32 AM4 trades$675 min
3/24/2026, 9:10:35 PM7 trades$619 min
7/7/2026, 5:38:01 PM4 trades$550 min
7/29/2026, 4:37:11 AM1 trades$500 min
4/15/2026, 9:28:34 PM2 trades$500 min
8/2/2026, 2:16:29 PM2 trades$490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
05-03
05-09
05-12
06-07
07-24
07-29
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.98/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.1 / M43.8 / H33.1