@gdebablo
#4,615590xd980f290f7c6ac2cb4e3ec06a299b48ea5e35be0
~244d· 516 markets · 2688 tradesVol: $4,038,2772026-09-09 18:26:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
17% (83/503)0/20
1.54x (win $111,076 / loss $72,079)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.27815/15
Sortino 4.26010/10
$+0.2051 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 558 (503 markets)9.7/10
50/193 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($28,759 / $67,756)5.5/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+39,665
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
Whale
$190,120 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#938$45,050Vol: $3,143,547
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,273$-2,045Vol: $685,926
💰 FINANCE#665,855$-2,414Vol: $132,104
📈 ECONOMICS#689,757$-1,268Vol: $50,295
🎭 CULTURE#810,016$-274Vol: $13,105
💻 TECH#257,696$-75Vol: $500
Overview
#1Net PnL
$39,263
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,038,277
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
516
total markets
Trades
1711B / 977S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~244d
Periods
#2Today
$-26
Vol: $0
Week
$-26
Vol: $1,533
Month
$-745
Vol: $17,600
All Time
$39,263
Vol: $4,038,277
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
17%
83W / 420L events
Realized PnL
$39,665
Win Rate
17%
83W / 420L
Profit Factor
1.54x
Avg Win
$1,338
Avg Loss
$-174
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,998 (1.0840270224889916% of PnL)
Top Winners
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$23,746
Will XRP dip to $2.30 October 6-12?$11,056
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?$8,196
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$6,701
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in October?$6,547
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?$6,244
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 October 6-12?$4,991
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$4,801
Will Ethereum dip to $3,900 October 6-12?$4,419
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?$2,692
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-5,636
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-5,090
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-4,644
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?$-2,902
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$-2,849
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?$-2,500
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$-2,281
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$-2,104
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-1,837
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-1,705
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.067
Sortino
0.208
HHI
675
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.183
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
47.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 4.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)89.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)5%
Sessions
#124/6/2026, 7:11:05 AM15 trades$34,6246 min
8/9/2025, 5:08:15 AM11 trades$23,2070 min
10/10/2025, 7:07:06 PM11 trades$23,1612 min
4/20/2026, 1:54:48 PM43 trades$14,9355 min
8/8/2025, 8:44:31 AM1 trades$12,8030 min
6/1/2026, 1:38:26 PM21 trades$11,0381 min
6/9/2025, 8:50:58 AM1 trades$10,0100 min
4/10/2026, 9:23:31 AM15 trades$9,8641 min
4/1/2026, 5:17:59 PM26 trades$9,3825 min
7/20/2026, 6:31:15 AM26 trades$8,1583 min
1/30/2026, 11:41:26 AM7 trades$8,06511 min
8/18/2026, 1:34:15 PM13 trades$7,9661 min
8/25/2026, 12:45:52 PM28 trades$7,6221 min
5/7/2026, 4:12:15 PM122 trades$7,2464 min
5/6/2026, 2:00:58 PM2 trades$7,1430 min
10/11/2025, 6:28:56 PM3 trades$6,8020 min
6/6/2025, 2:27:36 AM3 trades$6,6535 min
8/9/2025, 11:16:45 AM2 trades$6,6350 min
4/2/2026, 10:31:27 AM9 trades$6,4390 min
5/14/2025, 2:10:52 PM4 trades$6,2221 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
07-03
10-16
12-04
02-15
04-11
08-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 142 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.4 / M5.6 / H5