@0xd9b9de38b5af0367f350b0f24ad5f48404e903b8
120xd9b9de38b5af0367f350b0f24ad5f48404e903b8
~38d· 152 markets · 1079 trades2026-08-02 08:57:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (62/150)5.7/20
0.84x (win $8,046 / loss $9,589)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8120/15
Sortino -1.3910/10
$-0.0686 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1325 (150 markets)5.9/10
5/28 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($6,023 / $4,480)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,242
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,242
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,495
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
276B / 803S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
62W / 88L events
Realized PnL
$1,242
Win Rate
41%
62W / 88L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$130
Avg Loss
$-116
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,273 (5.8575858375148% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5,457
Spurs vs. Knicks$1,297
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$519
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$223
Knicks vs. Raptors$140
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$108
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$82
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?$76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?$68
Nets vs. Heat$17
Top Losers
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$-3,483
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-783
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-765
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-625
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-575
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-439
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-431
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$-373
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$-327
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?$-243
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.042
Sortino
-0.071
HHI
1686
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.5%
Top-5 markets
66.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 5.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.6%
Mid (20-55c)11.6%
High (>55c)30.8%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 10:28:14 PM2 trades$29,0000 min
6/10/2026, 4:51:15 AM4 trades$26,0002 min
6/17/2026, 10:19:02 AM2 trades$16,6670 min
6/9/2026, 10:49:09 PM6 trades$15,0001 min
6/9/2026, 11:34:43 AM35 trades$13,9760 min
4/10/2026, 5:12:43 AM2 trades$11,3200 min
6/16/2026, 9:08:33 AM41 trades$11,1523 min
6/17/2026, 9:27:22 PM21 trades$10,8794 min
6/17/2026, 9:45:41 AM5 trades$10,7261 min
4/9/2026, 7:06:41 AM4 trades$9,5960 min
7/3/2026, 2:15:41 PM27 trades$7,5370 min
7/3/2026, 4:59:07 AM32 trades$7,0550 min
7/3/2026, 5:22:55 AM36 trades$6,1011 min
6/17/2026, 5:05:40 AM4 trades$5,0100 min
4/9/2026, 7:00:49 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/3/2026, 12:56:52 PM19 trades$4,7280 min
7/3/2026, 5:04:25 AM78 trades$4,64112 min
7/3/2026, 7:36:20 AM30 trades$3,4210 min
7/1/2026, 5:53:49 AM19 trades$3,3322 min
6/11/2026, 6:58:45 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
02-27
03-05
04-07
06-09
06-13
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.6 / M11.6 / H30.8